USD/CAD Price Analysis: Loses resilience as US Dollar corrects


  • USD/CAD corrects to near 1.3500, following the footprints of the US Dollar.
  • Investors seem confident that the Fed will not raise interest rates further despite resilience in the US economy.
  • USD/CAD trades in a Rising Channel pattern in which each pullback is considered buying opportunity.

The USD/CAD pair finds selling pressure to near 1.3552 after a three-day winning spell and corrects to near the psychological support of 1.3500. The Loonie asset faces pressure amid a correction in the US Dollar Index (DXY) as the risk-aversion theme starts fading.

S&P500 futures generate some gains in the European session as investors seem confident that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not raise interest rates further despite resilience in the United States economy. As per the CME FedWatch Tool, more than 88% of chances are in favor of a steady interest rate decision for the September policy.

The USD Index extends correction to near 103.20 as the US Department of Labor reported a decline in individuals claiming jobless benefits for the first time to 239K vs. expectations of 240K and the former release of 250K for the week ending August 11.

USD/CAD trades in a Rising Channel chart pattern on an hourly scale in which each pullback is considered as buying opportunities by the market participants. The Loonie asset has corrected to near the immediate support plotted from August 8 high around 1.3500. Also, the upward-sloping 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3505 is providing support to the US Dollar bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) seems edgy around 40.00. A breakdown below the same will activate the bearish impulse.

Going forward, a decisive break above the intraday high at 1.3552 will drive the major toward June high at 1.3585, followed by May high at 1.3650.

In an alternate scenario, a downside move below July 18 high at 1.3288 would drag the asset toward July 27 low around 1.3160 and July 14 low marginally below 1.3100.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3507
Today Daily Change -0.0026
Today Daily Change % -0.19
Today daily open 1.3533
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3328
Daily SMA50 1.3274
Daily SMA100 1.3384
Daily SMA200 1.3451
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3545
Previous Daily Low 1.3475
Previous Weekly High 1.3502
Previous Weekly Low 1.3356
Previous Monthly High 1.3387
Previous Monthly Low 1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3519
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3502
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.349
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3448
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.342
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.356
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3588
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.363

 

 

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