Forex Analysis

EUR/USD drops toward 1.1350 post ECB decision

EUR/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure in the second half of the day on Thursday and trades at its lowest level in three weeks below 1.1370. The ECB's cautious tone on policy tightening in the near future and the broad-based US Dollar (USD) strength on risk-aversion drag the pair lower.

Gold trims gains, dips to $4,050

Gold keeps retreating on Thursday, trading well below $4,100 early in the American session. US crude oil prices climb to a fresh six-week high above $90 amid a further escalation of tensions between the US and Iran, fueling inflation fears and bolstering US Fed interest rate hike expectations. Hawkish Fed bets weigh negatively on the yieldless bullion.

GBP/USD dips below 1.3350 as USD demand surges

GBP/USD extends its intraday slide and closes in on 1.3300 in the American session on Thursday. The pair remains under heavy bearish pressure as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Stocks

FTSE Elliott Wave outlook: Bullish bias with 5‑swing progression since March 2026
The short‑term Elliott Wave outlook for FTSE highlights a sustained bullish progression since the March 23, 2026 low. From that base, the Index has carved a clear five‑swing advance, which is classified as a motive sequence and supports the expectation of further upside. The initial rally produced wave ((i)) at 10,687.88, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that concluded at 10,132.

In-Depth Analysis

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.
2.50%: Why the Kiwi's first hike in three years is a wager on a number nobody can see

The RBNZ raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50% at 02:00 GMT on Wednesday, its first hike in three years and the moment the bank that cut deeper than any G10 peer last cycle turned to face the other way.

Bye, forward guidance: How to trade when central banks choose silence

Central banks have spent years telling markets what might come next. Now, traders face the possibility that they say a lot less. From the Fed to the ECB and the BoE, policymakers are pushing back against forward guidance, arguing that the current world demands more flexibility.

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