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Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Market players await fresh clues

The EUR/USD pair finishes an uneventful week unchanged, just a handful of pips above the 1.1400 mark. Financial markets held cautiously throughout the week, trapped between little macroeconomic guidance and tensions in the Middle East. Washington and Tehran reached an agreement, the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU), in mid-June.

Gold: Renewed Middle East tensions scare bulls away

Gold (XAU/USD) lost its bullish momentum after rising more than 2% in the previous week and registered weekly losses as investors reacted to a clear re-escalation of tensions in the Middle East. July inflation data from the United States (US) and comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh could drive XAU/USD’s action in the near term.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Bitcoin: Strategy sells, the market doesn’t care

Bitcoin (BTC) reclaims $64,000 on Friday, extending a modest recovery while holding firmly above the key technical support zone so far this week. Mixed spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) flows through Thursday reflect cautious institutional positioning. Meanwhile, traders have digested headlines about Strategy’s recent Bitcoin sale, highlighting the Crypto King’s resilience and deep liquidity.

US Dollar: Sticky inflation keeps the higher-for-longer story alive

The US Dollar (USD) has traded in a volatile fashion this week, leaving the US Dollar Index (DXY) slightly positive around the 101.00 neighbourhood.

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In-Depth Analysis

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.