Weekly Forecast
The US Dollar collapsed this week, helping EUR/USD reach a fresh three-month high just above the 1.1700 mark, heading into the weekly close a handful of pips below that level but still firmly up. The USD sell-off was triggered by the United States Department of the Treasury, which announced on Wednesday that it will increase the government debt repurchase size by at least double.
Following the previous week’s choppy action, Gold gathered bullish momentum and advanced to its highest level since late May and touched $4,600. While XAU/USD’s technical outlook highlights buyers’ dominance in the near term, next week will feature key events that could ramp up market volatility.
Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $77,000 on Friday after rallying over 20% and reaching its highest level since mid-May. Crypto markets continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations, posting their 7th-largest liquidation event in history.
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In-Depth Analysis
The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.
The earlier Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) helped break the Lira. Today's CBRT has contained much of the direct exchange-rate pass-through, but it has not yet broken the inflationary habits the currency collapse left behind.
