Bear steepening turned into bear flattening in Europe yesterday. Daily changes on the German yield curve ranged between +2.4 bps (30-yr) and +5 bps (2-yr). EU swap rates added 0.9 bps (30-yr) to 4.5 bps (2-yr). The US/Iran stalemate and higher energy prices offer a first explanation.

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In-Depth Analysis

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.

Why credit markets aren’t pricing $570B of AI debt

911 million shares freed: Why SpaceX rallied into its own supply

Türkiye: From currency crisis to inflation culture

The earlier Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) helped break the Lira. Today's CBRT has contained much of the direct exchange-rate pass-through, but it has not yet broken the inflationary habits the currency collapse left behind. USD/TRY traded near 8.60 in mid-2021. On August 14, 2026, it closed near 48.00.

Why SpaceX bonds disagree with the stock

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Cryptocurrencies

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin remains vulnerable – Venice, Sky extend gains

Bitcoin hovers above $64,000 facing persistent headwinds amid hopes of a potential bullish reversal. Crypto market sentiment shows early signs of shifting away from risk-averse conditions, while Venice Token (VVV) and SKY are leading gains over the past 24 hours.

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC breaks 50-day EMA, ETH near critical resistance, XRP hints mild recovery

Bitcoin shows early signs of recovery, trading around $63,400 after a 2.9% gain and a close above key resistance earlier this week. Ethereum continues to trade sideways, nearing the upper consolidation range near $1,919, where a close above this level suggests a rally ahead.

Ethereum Price Forecast: Investors remain on the sidelines

Ethereum continued its consolidation pattern over the past week with several key on-chain and derivatives metrics indicating traders remain hesitant to return to the market. The holdings across several wallet cohorts remained largely unchanged over the past week. Wallets holding 10K-100K ETH, also classified as whales, saw modest inflows of only 10K ETH.

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Stocks

ASML Elliott Wave analysis: Bullish path toward $2108–$2287

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading & servicing semiconductor equipment systems. It also offers hardware, software & services to chipmakers to produce the patterns of integrated circuits. It comes under the Technology sector & trades as ‘ASML’ ticker at Nasdaq.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: War escalation can bring back US Dollar demand

The EUR/USD pair settled in the 1.1580 area marginally higher in the week, yet unable to find a clear path. The pair holds near its August peak at 1.1581, as demand for the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued amid poor employment figures and steady inflation.

Why SpaceX bonds disagree with the stock

SpaceX (SPCX) has been public for two months. In that time, the equity has been 67% above its $135 offering price and more than 20% below it, and it now sits near $146, having covered an enormous distance to arrive close to where it began.

Gold: Mideast stalemate keeps bullish potential in check

Bitcoin: Hormuz uncertainty clouds BTC outlook

Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $62,900 at the time of writing on Friday, down over 3% so far this week amid cautious institutional demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. While BTC shows signs of stabilization, elevated Oil prices and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping the Crypto King’s near-term outlook under pressure.

US Dollar: Fed hawks circle, but weak data clips the Dollar’s wings

It was a strange week for the US Dollar (USD): while the geopolitical situation has remained largely unchanged, with the usual back-and-forth between the US, Iran, and occasional third parties, disappointing domestic data have re-emerged, reducing expectations of potential tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the next few months.