In-Depth Analysis

Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.

Canada hits US goods with tariffs; The rate market sees a problem

On September 8, Canada begins charging its own importers 15%, 25% and 50% on roughly 700 lines of American goods. The measure is billed as dollar for dollar, and on the arithmetic of covered trade it is. What it is not is a tax on the United States.

Cryptocurrencies

XRP rebounds on surging whale accumulation

Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.40 support on Wednesday, as bulls return to take control following three consecutive days of declines. The remittance token’s upside appears capped at $1.50 while extended gains would face additional resistance at $1.70.

Bitcoin extends gains as investors shift to debasement-resistant assets

Bitcoin extends rally toward $80,000 amid persistent bullish momentum. Bitcoin’s SOPR indicator above 1 signals mild profit-taking, and a continued trend could suggest steady price growth as buyers absorb supply.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls regain strength amid steady capital inflows

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly edging higher on Thursday, led by Bitcoin’s uptick near $80,000. Altcoins mirror Bitcoin’s short-term bullish outlook, with Ethereum trading above $2,500 and Ripple hovering above its key $1.40 support.

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Stocks

Nvidia earnings: AI boom meets margin test

Another beat-and-raise quarter: Revenue beat expectations by 4.2%, Q3 guidance came around 4% above consensus and management now expects approximately 70% growth in fiscal 2028 vs. current expectations of 45%, confirming that demand remains stronger than available supply.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US Dollar falls apart, what’s next?

The US Dollar collapsed this week, helping EUR/USD reach a fresh three-month high just above the 1.1700 mark, heading into the weekly close a handful of pips below that level but still firmly up. The USD sell-off was triggered by the United States Department of the Treasury, which announced on Wednesday that it will increase the government debt repurchase size by at least double.

The Japanese Yen’s historic rescue is running out of steam
The Japanese Yen staged a spectacular 900-pip comeback after a historic US-Japan intervention. Less than three weeks later, that rescue is already showing signs of fading. The Yen is benefiting somewhat from a softer US Dollar, but its downward trend is likely to resume as the underlying pressure on the currency has not disappeared.
Bitcoin: The US Treasury saves BTC

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $77,000 on Friday after rallying over 20% and reaching its highest level since mid-May. Crypto markets continue to cheer the US Treasury’s decision to double its debt buyback operations, posting their 7th-largest liquidation event in history.

US Dollar: The US Dollar’s new enemy is the bond market
It was not geopolitics, the US-Japan joint FX intervention to support the beleaguered Japanese currency or the omnipresent bets on what the Federal Reserve (Fed) might do in the second half of the year that kept the US Dollar (USD) well on the back foot over the past five days.