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Why the US Dollar's rally isn't as strong as it looks

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is back at an 18-month high, but most of its climb since August is the Euro falling. Against a wider group of trading partners, the Dollar has gained half as much, and the Federal Reserve has raised rates once this year. The US Dollar Index, which measures the Dollar against six other currencies, is trading near 103.

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What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.

The Australian Dollar is losing the one thing that was holding it up
Australian interest rates rose faster than American ones for most of 2026, and that gap kept the Aussie Dollar up while iron ore fell. The Reserve Bank of Australia has signalled a pause in the same fortnight the Federal Reserve began discussing a half-point rise.

Cryptocurrencies

Injective: Mounting selling pressure threatens a long-term support trendline
Injective (INJ) extends losses below $7.50 at press time on Thursday, attracting sellers after the previous day’s 6% decline. The derivatives market shows a sell-side bias among traders, as market orders continue to sweep resting bids amid declining Open Interest in INJ futures. The technical outlook for INJ is mixed, with a key support trendline in focus.
Bitcoin under pressure as MSCI removes Strategy from global indexes, puts billions in fund flows at risk

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading below $73,800 on Thursday after correcting over 1.5% so far this week. Bearish sentiment grew after news on Wednesday that MSCI, the global index provider, announced it will drop Strategy and other BTC-holding companies from global indexes, putting billions in fund flows at risk.

MSCI drops Strategy from indexes: What it means for Bitcoin

Strategy and Bitcoin came under fresh pressure late Wednesday after MSCI finalized its decision to remove the Bitcoin treasury company from its global indexes, raising concerns about potential selling pressure on MSTR shares and its future Bitcoin purchases.

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Stocks

Semiconductor stocks rejoice after CoreWeave hikes guidance

CoreWeave (CRWV) has upended the bearish sentiment on Wednesday after beating Wall Street consensus for Q3 and hiking full-year guidance late Tuesday. The so-called neocloud posted third-quarter GAAP earnings per share of $-1.27, or 18% better than the average forecast. Revenue of $3.66 billion bested the average analyst estimate by $120 million.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Greenback holds firm despite looming US political stalemate
The EUR/USD pair finished the first week of November trading around 1.1140 after spending pretty much a month ranging around 1.1200. Critical headlines were partially overshadowed by persistent uncertainty, with the pair leaning bearish but still trapped.
Canadian Dollar stares at 114.7K lost jobs and a Fed rate hike
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) faces pressure from two directions. Canada's labour market continued to deteriorate, while job creation in the United States (US) significantly exceeded expectations, strengthening market bets on another interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This divergence puts the Loonie in a particularly difficult position.
Bitcoin: Bears tighten grip as BTC eyes fifth weekly loss
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 3% this week, trading near $75,500 on Friday and heading for its fifth straight weekly loss. Persistent outflows from US-listed BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), a sharp sell-off in US technology stocks, and rising market liquidations are weighing on sentiment and limiting Crypto King’s recovery attempts.
US Dollar: The Dollar survives the midterms; now comes inflation
The US Dollar (USD) weathered the post-US midterm election results better than expected, adding to the previous week’s bullish move and managing to keep the trade above the key 102.00 barrier on the US Dollar Index (DXY).