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Traders have taken about one quarter-point hike out of their European Central Bank forecasts since mid-September, betting the ECB will stop raising rates because of a French debt selloff. The same bet failed twice in 2022 and 2023, when the ECB kept raising rates through financial stress because inflation was above its 2% target. Euro-area inflation came in at 3.8% in September.
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The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.
Cryptocurrencies
Ripple (XRP) is trading above $1.50 on Monday, as bulls struggle to sustain recovery. Despite the sideways price action between support at $1.45 and supply at $1.60, XRP remains supported by uptrending major moving averages and key momentum indicators.
Bitcoin is narrowly consolidating while trading above $86,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, on the other hand, show a positive outlook, with Ethereum edging higher above $2,700 while Ripple steadies above $1.52.
AI tokens, including Artificial Superintelligence Alliance, Virtuals Protocol, and NEAR Protocol, are leading gains over the last 24 hours. This suggests a rotation of capital from previously favored DeFi tokens into AI tokens.
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