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CFTC Report: Defensive currency positioning takes hold
The week in one sentence: Sterling and Euro shorts deepened in the week to September 22, while Yen longs were cut sharply. Oil positioning improved despite a steep price decline, and Gold exposure remained crowded. The main signal was a more defensive currency positioning backdrop.

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The Unthinkable is About to Happen to Gold After What the Fed Just Did

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🔴 LIVE FOMC Rate Decision + Fed Chair Warsh Press Conference: Gold, Dollar & Stocks Reaction

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Gold’s Next Big Move Depends on THIS Fed Signal

In-Depth Analysis

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.

Diesel keeps climbing until someone reopens a pipeline

American Diesel costs $6.285 a gallon, more than it has ever cost, and it got there in a year when Gasoline never came close to its own record. Gasoline sits about 14% below the high it set in June 2022. Diesel sits about 8% above the high it set that month.

Cryptocurrencies

XRP Price Forecast: Momentum builds as bulls eye another breakout

Ripple ticks up and trades near $1.60 on Friday, as bulls tighten their grip on the remittance token. This marks the second straight day of gains after XRP gave back some of the gains it accrued earlier this week.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge lower, XRP extends recovery as macro headwinds weigh

The broader cryptocurrency market is consolidating on Friday, with Bitcoin paring losses slightly above $84,000. Ethereum declines in tandem with BTC. Ripple, meanwhile, paints a different picture.

Bitcoin consolidates gains as ETF inflows hit highest level since October 2025

Bitcoin holds above $84,000 on Friday, up over 4% so far this week. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a net inflow of $2.25 billion through Thursday, the highest weekly inflow since October 2025.

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Stocks

Oracle's force majeure on New Mexico data center sends AI stocks lower

Oracle (ORCL) stock sinks over 4% on Thursday after the hyperscaler sent a force majeure notice to the developer building its new data center campus in New Mexico. That news rippled through artificial intelligence stocks and set up the Thursday session as another consecutive retreat.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: The Dollar takes back control
The single currency has remained well on the defensive for the third week in a row, prompting EUR/USD to challenge the 1.1360 region for the first time since late July. Indeed, the pair has traded with gains only on Friday, while reversing two consecutive advances when it comes to the monthly chart.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which
The Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.
Bitcoin: BTC consolidates gains as ETF inflows hit highest level since October 2025
Bitcoin (BTC) price holds above $84,000 at the time of writing on Friday as it consolidates gains of over 4% so far this week. Institutional demand supports the bullish outlook, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a net inflow of $2.25 billion through Thursday, pointing to the highest weekly inflow since October 2025.
US Dollar: The Dollar is back, but can the rally go further?
The US Dollar (USD) saw its recent bounce reinvigorated this week, gathering extra pace and popping to new two-month highs in a context of further advance of US Treasury yields across the curve, rising bets for extra tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the next few months, unabated uncertainty from the Middle East conflict and firmer-than-estimated US data releases.