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In-Depth Analysis

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.

Diesel keeps climbing until someone reopens a pipeline
American Diesel costs $6.285 a gallon, more than it has ever cost, and it got there in a year when Gasoline never came close to its own record. Gasoline sits about 14% below the high it set in June 2022. Diesel sits about 8% above the high it set that month. Same crude, same refineries, same taxes, and nearly $2 a gallon between them. The world is not badly short of Oil.

Cryptocurrencies

Top 3 Price Prediction: BTC extends recovery, ETH eyes $2,500, XRP holds $1.30

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple extend their recovery, trading above $76,700, $2,400 and $1.300, respectively, on Friday. These top three cryptocurrencies now face key technical levels that could determine whether their recoveries extend further or pull back.

Crypto Overview: Bitcoin extends mild recovery – Near Protocol, Uniswap rally

Bitcoin hovers above $77,000 on Friday, holding steady with minor gains after Tuesday’s 3% decline. Bitcoin holds steady as the Bank of Japan raises interest rates from 1% to 1.25% on Friday. Near Protocol and Uniswap record double-digit gains over the last 24 hours, emerging as top performers.

S&P Global to acquire OpenZeppelin in on-chain security expansion

S&P Global has agreed to acquire blockchain security firm OpenZeppelin as the financial data and analytics company expands its on-chain risk assessment capabilities. The acquisition, announced Thursday, will bring OpenZeppelin’s smart contract security services, development tools and open-source libraries into S&P Global’s existing digital asset and risk assessment business.

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Stocks

Lennar reports Q3 earnings: What key metrics have to say
Lennar (LEN) reported $8.05 billion in revenue for the quarter ended August 2026, representing a year-over-year decline of 8.7%. EPS of $1.23 for the same period compares to $2.00 a year ago. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.33 billion, representing a surprise of -3.44%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -4.65%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $1.29.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: To hike or not to hike? Kevin Warsh between a rock and a hard place
The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1600 for a third consecutive week, unable to find a clear way despite key macroeconomic headlines. The pair held within a tight 100-pip range for the second week in a row, as speculative interest awaits the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday.
Global inflation watch: Muted momentum outside of energy
Overview: Inflation in August came in broadly as expected in both the US and euro area. Momentum in underlying inflation remained muted on both sides of the Atlantic (see chart). Rising energy prices, particularly European gas futures, have moved up near-term inflation expectations.
Bitcoin: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.
US Dollar: No country for soft landings
There was no respite to the downward trend for the US Dollar (USD) this week, which added to the prior week’s retracement and at some point flirted with the area of four-month lows.