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 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

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In-Depth Analysis

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.
Where the Pound is headed as war, fiscal cracks and central banks collide

Looking back, 2026 has not been a bad year for the British Pound (GBP). The GBP/USD pair is less than 1% below the year-opening levels, which, comparatively, is far from the worst performance among major currencies.

Cryptocurrencies

Pi Network extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases.

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Hormuz uncertainty clouds BTC outlook

Bitcoin trades around $62,900 on Friday, down over 3% so far this week, but signs of stabilization are emerging. Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz are keeping Oil prices and the war-risk premium elevated, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on BTC.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple risk steeper correction as bearish pressure mounts

Bitcoin trades below $63,000 on Friday, projecting a downside bias as selling pressure resurfaces. Ethereum and Ripple also take a bearish path, risking a drop below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $1,856 and the $1.00 psychological support, respectively.

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Stocks

S&P 500 hits new high on fresh AI enthusiasm
The AI boom is back on, as tech lifts the S&P 500 to a new high, says Chris Beauchamp, Chief Market Analyst at online trading and investing platform IG. The resurgence of AI names continues, pushing the S&P 500 to a new record high.

Weekly Forecast

 EUR/USD: War escalation can bring back US Dollar demand
The EUR/USD pair settled in the 1.1580 area marginally higher in the week, yet unable to find a clear path. The pair holds near its August peak at 1.1581, as demand for the US Dollar (USD) remains subdued amid poor employment figures and steady inflation.
Why SpaceX bonds disagree with the stock
SpaceX (SPCX) has been public for two months. In that time, the equity has been 67% above its $135 offering price and more than 20% below it, and it now sits near $146, having covered an enormous distance to arrive close to where it began.
Bitcoin: Hormuz uncertainty clouds BTC outlook
Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $62,900 at the time of writing on Friday, down over 3% so far this week amid cautious institutional demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. While BTC shows signs of stabilization, elevated Oil prices and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to weigh on risk sentiment, keeping the Crypto King’s near-term outlook under pressure.
US Dollar: Sticky inflation, weaker jobs and hopes of peace
The geopolitical landscape has remained the almost exclusive driver of the sentiment surrounding the global markets this week. Against that backdrop, the US Dollar (USD) has been suffering from rising optimism over a potential US-Iran peace agreement that would not only end the current crisis but also reopen the Strait of Hormuz.