The week in one sentence: Yen positioning swung back into net longs in the week to September 8, leading to a 103.0K-contract improvement. Canadian Dollar shorts also fell sharply, while Oil buying accompanied another price rise. Euro, Sterling and Swiss Franc positioning weakened despite firmer currencies, leaving those moves unconfirmed by speculative flows.

Latest News

14 minutes ago

United States Dollar Index rises to near 99.50 as Fed rate hike bets increase

Akhtar Faruqui

17 minutes ago

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Shows resilience below 38.2% Fibo. near mid-0.7100s

Haresh Menghani

26 minutes ago

New Zealand Dollar weakens below 0.5800 on RBNZ dovish signals

Lallalit Srijandorn

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Latest Videos

Outside Bar: Spot Market Reversals

🔴 LIVE US August CPI Inflation: 5 Days to Warsh Fed Decision! DXY, Gold Key Levels & Market Reaction

CPI Could Flip Fed Expectations...and Trigger Gold’s Next Move

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Outside Bar: Spot Market Reversals

🔴 LIVE US August CPI Inflation: 5 Days to Warsh Fed Decision! DXY, Gold Key Levels & Market Reaction

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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD bears have the upper hand below $64.75-$64.85 confluence

1 hour ago

Canadian Dollar gains support from higher oil prices amid Saudi pipeline disruptions

Akhtar Faruqui

1 hour ago

Japanese Yen edges lower vs USD amid Middle East jitters as Fed, BoJ meetings loom

Haresh Menghani

1 hour ago

Gold edges lower below $4,350 on imminent Fed rate hike

Lallalit Srijandorn

2 hours ago

WTI rebounds toward nearly four-month highs after Saudi pipeline shutdown

Akhtar Faruqui

2 hours ago

British Pound consolidates above 1.3500 vs USD ahead of this week's UK data, Fed, BoE

Haresh Menghani

2 hours ago

PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.7698 vs. 6.7743 previous

Haresh Menghani

In-Depth Analysis

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight

The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.

Canada's 6.4% unemployment rate: Why Friday's jobs print puts the BoC's slack story on trial

2% wages: Why Canada’s weak jobs data strengthens the BoC’s stance

Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks

Private credit books a Fed hike as income until borrowers stop paying

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC retreats as macro headwinds grow

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, down over 4% this week and trading around $76,900 at the time of writing on Friday. Institutional demand shows signs of weakness as spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) are on track to end their three-week inflow streak, recording nearly $500 million in net outflows through Thursday.

XRP falls toward key support as macro uncertainty, weak momentum cap recovery

Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stabilize at lower levels amid ETF outflows and macroeconomic risks

The broader cryptocurrency market is rising on Friday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $77,000 after testing lower support near $76,500. Ethereum (ETH) shows signs of stability, hovering above the support provided at $2,400 despite capped upside at $2,500. Meanwhile, Ripple (XRP) holds above $1.33 after three straight days of declines, reflecting growing headwinds due to macroeconomic uncertainty.

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Stocks

Google faces deeper correction risk as key $300 support comes into focus

Google (GOOGL) turned sharply lower after we identified a five-wave reversal from the upper channel, which appears to have marked the completion of a larger wave five impulsive sequence. The stock now looks to be entering a broader corrective phase, with the potential for significantly more weakness if key trend line support around the $300 level breaks.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: To hike or not to hike? Kevin Warsh between a rock and a hard place

The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1600 for a third consecutive week, unable to find a clear way despite key macroeconomic headlines. The pair held within a tight 100-pip range for the second week in a row, as speculative interest awaits the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday.

Global inflation watch: Muted momentum outside of energy

Overview: Inflation in August came in broadly as expected in both the US and euro area. Momentum in underlying inflation remained muted on both sides of the Atlantic (see chart). Rising energy prices, particularly European gas futures, have moved up near-term inflation expectations.