The Automatic Data Processing Research Institute is due to release October’s private-sector employment report on Wednesday. The market consensus anticipates a moderate slowdown in job creation, with the ADP Employment Change expected to show 69K new private jobs in October, down from 90K in September.

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In-Depth Analysis

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions

The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.

Warsh is cutting the Fed's rate meetings. Fewer decisions, bigger moves

The Fed can't fix this inflation. It's a mechanical weight, not a demand problem

What a split Congress means for the US Dollar

The United States (US) is going to the polls on Tuesday, and much is at stake. The mid-term elections mean the renovation of roughly one-third of the Senate and all 435 of the House seats. Additionally, special elections in Florida and Ohio will be held to fill the seats vacated by US Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Vice President JD Vance.

Can the New Zealand Dollar hold 0.5600 this time?

Gold's bounce off $3,870 isn't a bottom yet

Cryptocurrencies

Solana Price Forecast: SOL slides below $92 as downside risk grows

Solana remains under pressure, trading below $92 on Wednesday and declining more than 3.5% so far this week. Muted demand for US-listed spot Solana Exchange Traded Funds, rising short positions and overheated market conditions continue to weigh on sentiment, limiting recovery attempts.

Top 3 Price Predictions: BTC tests critical support, ETH struggles below resistance, XRP extends losses

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday as bearish momentum continues to weigh on prices. BTC approaches key support around $76,466, and a decisive close below could open the door to deeper losses. Meanwhile, ETH struggles below key resistance while XRP faces rejection at the upper trendline of a falling channel pattern, all hinting at deeper losses.

Bitcoin struggles to capitalize on US Dollar weakness as Democrats advance in US midterms

Bitcoin is down nearly 2% trading below $76,000, and testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average baseline near $76,501. Bitcoin’s pullback aligns with the weakness in the US Dollar, which typically provides tailwinds for risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure aligns with the US midterm elections as early results point to Democrats leading gains in both houses.

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Stocks

Strong iPhone sales fortify Apple's Q4 result

A robust fourth-quarter for Apple's (AAPL) iPhone sales helped the tech titan beat Wall Street's consensus on Monday. Apple reported $57.58 billion in iPhone sales in Q4, beating the average analyst estimate by more than a billion. However, AAPL stock shed close to 4% afterhours despite the top and bottom line beat.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: US President Donald Trump judgment day has come

The EUR/USD pair settled around 1.1160, down for the week and closing October with losses. The US Dollar (USD) advanced through the first half of the week but changed course after the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy announcement, then fell further after the European Central Bank (ECB) reported the same decision. The Greenback regained some poise on Friday, as risk aversion took the lead.

European Central Bank faces 3-year-high inflation at 3.8%

The European Central Bank (ECB) faces a difficult monetary policy environment as Eurozone inflation reached 3.8% in September, its highest level in three years and almost twice the central bank's 2% target.

Gold: Bears dominate even as US yields push lower ahead of midterm election

Bitcoin: Binance security breach and hawkish Fed push BTC lower

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to weaken this week, down more than 3% and heading for its fourth straight weekly loss. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization is facing a bearish outlook, fueled by a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook at the October meeting and a reported $6.3 billion hack at Binance, which is driving risk aversion and triggering heavy liquidations.

US Dollar: A hawkish Fed is no longer enough

The US Dollar (USD) managed to regain some composure, ending the week with acceptable gains after surrendering some ground following earlier two-week highs. Indeed, the US Dollar Index (DXY), at some point in the last few days, popped to as high as the 102.50 zone, just to lose some momentum soon afterwards despite keeping its weekly bullish mood well in place.