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In-Depth Analysis

Why the WTI sell-off may be hiding a supply warning
Prices for the barrel of the American Oil benchmark have fallen sharply as hopes of a US-Iran agreement have resurfaced, but a deeply backwardated Oil curve, tight Cushing stocks and light speculative positioning all warn that the sell-off may have gone too far.
Prediction markets are changing how traders read breaking news
When a major macroeconomic release hits the wires, traders instinctively turn to Treasury yields, the US Dollar (USD), Equity futures or the CME FedWatch Tool to gauge the market's reaction. Increasingly, however, another screen is attracting attention: Prediction markets. Platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi are no longer confined to election betting or niche political forecasts.

Cryptocurrencies

XRP Price Prediction: XRP tests major support at $1.00
Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.
Top AI Coins Forecast: Chainlink, Near Protocol and Bittensor broadly stabilize after sell-off
The cryptocurrency market is stabilizing on Friday as prospects for de-escalation in Middle East geopolitical tensions improve. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-focused tokens such as Chainlink (LINK), Near Protocol (NEAR), and Bittensor (TAO) continue to face selling pressure, yet are defending key technical support levels.
Bitcoin’s volatility has nearly disappeared – The risk hasn’t
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are yet to see outflows this month, bringing in $754 million in the first week of August. Yet, Bitcoin remains steady at $64,700, while options flow favors protection at $62,000 and $63,000. The opposing signals point to a market with a spot bid but limited conviction.

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Stocks

The Trade Desk suffers massive miss as shareholders head for exit

The Trade Desk (TTD), once a growth darling, is down on its luck. The digital advertising auction house offered up a rare double miss on Thursday. The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.34 in the second quarter, missing consensus by $0.06. Revenue of $715.1 million missed the mark by $36.4 million and grew just 3% on an annual basis.

Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD:  US inflation and war doldrums to keep shaping market’s mood
A dull week ends with the EUR/USD pair surging to a fresh multi-week high, trading around 1.1560 ahead of the close. Optimism about an end to the Middle East conflict dominated the headlines throughout the first half of the week, only to be followed by the usual delays and diluted hopes.
Why the WTI sell-off may be hiding a supply warning
Prices for the barrel of the American Oil benchmark have fallen sharply as hopes of a US-Iran agreement have resurfaced, but a deeply backwardated Oil curve, tight Cushing stocks and light speculative positioning all warn that the sell-off may have gone too far.
Bitcoin: Can bulls weather the market uncertainty?
Bitcoin (BTC) remains resilient, trading above $65,000 on Friday, with bulls defending key support despite cautious market sentiment. US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) showed strong inflows through Thursday, pointing to renewed institutional demand.
US Dollar: Sticky inflation, weaker jobs and hopes of peace
The geopolitical landscape has remained the almost exclusive driver of the sentiment surrounding the global markets this week. Against that backdrop, the US Dollar (USD) has been suffering from rising optimism over a potential US-Iran peace agreement that would not only end the current crisis but also reopen the Strait of Hormuz.