NZD/USD FORECAST AND NEWS
NZD/USD holds steady on mixed China's inflation releases, US CPI data looms
The NZD/USD pair holds steady around 0.7030 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The New Zealand Dollar steadies against the US Dollar following China’s economic data. All eyes will be on the US May Consumer Price Index inflation report later on Wednesday.
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USD/JPY sits near the April-May intervention level, around mid-160.00s
USD/JPY consolidates its recent gains to the highest level since late April, around mid-160.00s, where Japan conducted its last major FX intervention. Renewed speculations that authorities will step in again lend support to the Japanese Yen and cap the currency pair amid subdued US Dollar demand. However, economic risks stemming from the Middle East conflict keep the JPY bulls on the sidelines. Moreover, a fresh escalation of US-Iran tensions and bets for Fed rate hikes favor the USD bulls, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the pair remains to the upside.
AUD/USD vulnerable near two-month low amid escalating US-Iran tensions
AUD/USD touches a fresh low since April 13 during the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through amid subdued US Dollar price action. However, a fresh wave of US strikes on Iran and bets that the US Fed will raise rates by the end of this year, despite soft consumer inflation figures, favor the USD bulls. Apart from this, expectations for a prolonged pause by the RBA back the case for a further depreciation in the Aussie.
Gold recovers slightly from November 2025 lows; not out of the woods yet
Gold extends the recent breakdown momentum below the 200-day SMA and plummets to its lowest level since November 2025 during the Asian session on Thursday. Renewed hostilities between the US and Iran push Crude Oil prices higher, reviving inflationary concerns and bolstering bets for more hawkish central banks. This continues to drive flows away from the non-yielding bullion, though subdued US Dollar demand helps spot prices to find some support ahead of the $4,000 psychological mark.
Bitcoin faces further downside risk amid growing short-term holder losses, weak ETF demand
Bitcoin's recent decline toward the $60,000 level has pushed the market further into bearish territory, with new investors suffering huge unrealized losses, according to a Glassnode report on Wednesday. The firm noted that Bitcoin's earlier May rally now appears increasingly as a "bear bounce".
From sizzle to fizzle: Tech sinks as Oil puts the Fed tail back on the table
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Signatures
INFLUENTIAL INSTITUTIONS AND PEOPLE FOR THE NZD/USD
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is New Zealand's central bank. Its primary role is to “give people, communities and businesses the confidence to spend, borrow and save money” by maintaining a sound and efficient monetary and financial system. The RBNZ achieves this by managing inflation to keep prices stable, regulating banks and finance companies, producing New Zealand’s banknotes and coins and operating effective wholesale payment and settlement systems.
The official website, on X and YouTubeThe Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Federal Reserve (Fed) is the central bank of the United States (US) and it has two main targets: to maintain the unemployment rate at its lowest possible levels and to keep inflation around 2%. The Federal Reserve System's structure is composed of the presidentially appointed Board of Governors and the partially appointed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC organizes eight scheduled meetings in a year to review economic and financial conditions. It also determines the appropriate stance of monetary policy and assesses the risks to its long-run goals of price stability and sustainable economic growth.
Fed official website, on X and FacebookRBNZ Governor Anna Breman
Anna Breman was appointed as Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Governor in December 2025 for a five-year term ending in November 2030. Breman had previously served as First Deputy Governor of the central bank of Sweden (Riksbank). She holds a PhD in Economics from the Stockholm School of Economics and has previously served as the group chief economist and global head of macro research at Swedbank. She has also worked at the Swedish Ministry of Finance and at the World Bank.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
RBNZ NEWS & ANALYSIS
FED NEWS & ANALYSIS
About NZD/USD
The pair indicates how many US Dollars (USD) are required to purchase one New Zealand Dollar (NZD). Often seen as a minor currency, its relevance stems from New Zealand’s strong commercial ties with its neighbor, Australia, and China. The New Zealand Dollar is commonly referred to as 'the Kiwi', named after the bird that symbolizes New Zealand.