Back in 1934, Ralph Nelson Elliott discovered that price action displayed on charts, instead of behaving in a somewhat chaotic manner, had actually an intrinsic narrative attached. Elliott saw the same patterns formed in repetitive cycles. These cycles were reflecting the predominant emotions of investors and traders in upward and downward swings. These movements were divided into what he called "waves". Elliott adopts the 3 impulses and 2 corrections of the Dow Theory, but achieves a higher precision. Elliott was in fact describing the fractal nature of financial markets 50 years before the term was used to describe it.
The primary objective to the trader, and the aim of this dedicated page, is to identify the presence of the most destructive and thereby profitable wave formations, be they a third wave or a C wave. In the case of the Forex market, some authors
sustain that many times wave 5 is the longest.
Note that many analysts combine these principles with the Fibonacci ratios and other support and resistance levels in order to measure the potential of each price move including their probable time duration.
The publication of R.N. Elliott's The Wave Principle in 1938 marked the beginning of the Elliott Wave Movement which has attracted a huge following in the technical analysis community.
The internet boom of the last ten years or so has uncovered a whole new generation of Elliott Wave practitioners and some, for whatever reason, have taken a more hybrid route in its application, for instance using Elliott Wave in Cryptotrading, departing from the core-essence and principles of what R.N. Elliott himself discovered.
Let’s face it, interpreting the markets waves can be difficult so why not add something new to the mix to help that process. It’s a common theme to use technical indicators alongside Elliott Wave, the most widespread use is the divergence set-ups in RSI to identify waves 3-4-5.
Others have modified Elliott’s work entirely, even given their own names to their new discoveries. Some have departed so far from the ‘Nature’s Law’ concept of ‘action/reaction’ where numbers are ‘trends’ and ‘letters’ are counter-trends that even wave labelling is almost unrecognisable from its origins.
The point in using the rules and guidelines of the Elliott Wave Theory is to know where in the overall structure is the market right now, and what portion of that motion are they most likely to capture. Traders using waves are recognized by having their preferred wave pattern, their sweet spot so to speak, that frees them from having to keep a full account of the waves in all time frames.
Although the variability of forms represents a real challenge for any Elliott's apprentice, it is important to distinguish between an impulsive and corrective wave. And here lies another big lesson from Elliott: in recognizing that the market spends much more time in corrective mode than in impulse and sentiment mode, and that periods of correction can be very complex in terms of price action.
In the midst of a corrective pattern, it is common that patience is exhausted while waiting for confirmation of a trend change. So we must give corrective patterns the time to unfold before wading into the market. This requires discipline and a solid understanding of the variety of ways in which corrective patterns can be deployed.
Update on Elliott Wave Analysis: Continue to build long positions through the TradingLevels in all Indices. The Elliott wave trend for the SP500 and Nasdaq 100 is from the large tech stocks, so we have a very clean consensus of the Elliott wave count and can expect this trend to continue well into next week and probably longer as Elliott Wave Minor 5.
Firstly, triple three corrections are a sideways combination of three corrective patterns in Elliott Wave Theory. These corrections are one of the five types of corrective patterns that correct the completed cycle of the prevailing trend. Zigzags (5-3-5), Flats (3-3-5), Triangles (3-3-3-3-3), Double threes which are a combination of two corrective patterns previously mentioned.
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AUD/USD trades with a negative bias for the fifth straight day on Wednesday, just above a one-week low touched the previous day, as a weaker risk tone and China's economic woes undermine the Aussie. However, the RBA's hawkish stance could limit deeper losses. Moreover, bets for more rate cuts by the Fed in 2026 keep a lid on the attempted US Dollar recovery, warranting some caution for bearish traders ahead of US CPI on Thursday.
The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers near 154.80 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The Japanese Yen strengthens against the US Dollar amid growing speculation that the Bank of Japan will hike rates to 0.75% on Friday.
Gold price extends its upside to near seven-week highs above $4,300 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the US labor market remains relatively resilient but shows signs of slowing. The mixed US employment report for November reinforces bets of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve and weighs on the US Dollar.
Ripple is finding footing above $1.90 at the time of writing on Tuesday after a bearish wave swept across the broader cryptocurrency market, building on persistent negative sentiment.
Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.
