US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar trades steadily, ignoring weak industrial data from China and Japan

The US Dollar (USD) is trading within a very tight range on Friday, with the DXY index holding above 108.00, as markets remain cautious and trading desks are short-staffed due to the Christmas holiday. The Dollar failed to react to more action in Asian markets, with data signaling further contraction in Japan’s Industrial Production and Chinese industrial companies reporting lower profits.

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD: Parity looks likely in 2025 as gap between US-European economies widens

EUR/USD: Parity looks likely in 2025 as gap between US-European economies widens

The EUR/USD pair started the year changing hands at around 1.1040 and ended near its yearly low of 1.0332. By September, the pair surged to 1.1213 and the Euro seemed on its way to conquer the world.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD retreats below 1.2550 after short-lasting recovery attempt

GBP/USD retreats below 1.2550 after short-lasting recovery attempt

GBP/USD loses its traction and retreats below 1.2550 after climbing above 1.2600 on Monday. Although falling US Treasury bond yields weighed on the USD at the beginning of the week, the risk-averse market atmosphere supported the currency, capping the pair's upside.

GBP/USD News
USD/JPY continues to fall toward 156.00 as traders expect BoJ to raise rates in January

USD/JPY continues to fall toward 156.00 as traders expect BoJ to raise rates in January

USD/JPY extends its losses for the third consecutive session on New Year’s Eve, trading around 156.20 during early European hours on Tuesday. However, the Japanese Yen (JPY) is headed for a decline of over 10% in 2024, marking its fourth straight year of weakening against the US Dollar (USD).

USD/JPY News
Gold: Is another record-setting year in the books in 2025?

Gold: Is another record-setting year in the books in 2025?

Gold benefited from escalating geopolitical tensions and the global shift toward a looser monetary policy environment throughout 2024, setting a new all-time high at $2,790 and rising around 25% for the year.

Gold News
WTI rises to near $71.50 as manufacturing sector in China expands in December

WTI rises to near $71.50 as manufacturing sector in China expands in December

West Texas Intermediate Oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $71.40 per barrel during the Asian session on Tuesday. Crude Oil prices have maintained their gains following the release of the NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, which indicates that China's manufacturing sector expanded in December.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.