Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD strives for interim support near $22.40 after strong Retail Sales data


  • Silver price seeks intermediate support as the US Dollar strengthens after upbeat Retail Sales data.
  • Strong consumer spending momentum has boosted US consumer inflation expectations.
  • Silver price forms a Head and Shoulder chart pattern, which is a trend reversal pattern.

Silver price (XAG/USD) demonstrated a volatile action after the United Census Bureau reported that Retail Sales data outperformed expectations. The white metal seeking a cushion near $22.40 but the outlook seems vulnerable as strong consumer spending momentum has boosted consumer inflation expectations.

Retail Sales for August expanded at a higher pace of 0.6% vs. estimates of 0.2% and July’s reading of 0.5%. The economic data excluding automobiles rose at a slightly slower pace of 0.6% vs. the former reading of 0.7% while investors anticipated a 0.2% pace.

Along with, the US Department of Labor showed that individuals claiming jobless benefits for the first time rose by 220K while investors anticipated higher jobless claims at 225K. In the previous week, jobless benefits were recorded at 216K. Jobless claims remained higher than the prior week's figures after declining straight for five weeks.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) prints a fresh six-month high at 105.30 as strong retail demand could elevate consumer inflation expectations and encourage Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers to deepen discussions about one more interest rate increase in the remaining year. The 10-year US Treasury yields rose sharply to 2.28%.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price forms a Head and Shoulder chart pattern on a daily scale, which is a trend reversal pattern. The neckline of the aforementioned chart pattern is plotted from June low around 22.18. A declining 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) indicates that the short-term trend is bearish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) shifts into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the downside impulse has strengthened.

Silver daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 22.36
Today Daily Change -0.48
Today Daily Change % -2.10
Today daily open 22.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.63
Daily SMA50 23.74
Daily SMA100 23.78
Daily SMA200 23.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 23.1
Previous Daily Low 22.74
Previous Weekly High 24.3
Previous Weekly Low 22.83
Previous Monthly High 25.02
Previous Monthly Low 22.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 22.88
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 22.96
Daily Pivot Point S1 22.69
Daily Pivot Point S2 22.54
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.34
Daily Pivot Point R1 23.04
Daily Pivot Point R2 23.24
Daily Pivot Point R3 23.39

 

 

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