Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds positive ground above $2,020 ahead of US CPI data


  • Gold price gains ground around $2,026 on the softer USD. 
  • Fed’s Williams said it is premature to call for rate cuts
  • Market players will closely monitor the US Consumer Price Index (CPI), due on Thursday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) drifted higher during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The softer US Dollar (USD) lends some support to the yellow metal ahead of the key US CPI report on Thursday. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,026, gaining 0.15% on the day. 

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, drops to 102.35. The US Treasury yields edge lower, with the 10-year yield standing at 4.03%.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said on Wednesday that it is premature to call for rate cuts as the Fed still faces challenges in bringing inflation to its target level of 2%. Williams further stated that the Fed will need to maintain a restrictive policy posture for some time to fully achieve its goals, and monetary policy decisions will be made at each meeting, taking into account the incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks.

Fed maintained the interest rate unchanged at its December meeting and penciled in three quarter-percentage-point rate cuts by the end of 2024. Minutes from that meeting released last week did not indicate any discussion about a timetable for the rate cuts. However, traders will keep an eye on the US inflation report on Thursday for fresh impetus. Economists estimate inflation to rise in December, casting doubt on the market's keen expectation that the Fed would cut interest rates this year.

Moving on, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) is due later on Thursday. The headline inflation is estimated to rise 0.2% MoM, and the core CPI is expected to rise 0.3% MoM in December. Also, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be released on the same day. On Friday, attention will shift to the Chinese CPI, Producer Price Index (PPI), and Trade Balance data. 

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2026.55
Today Daily Change -1.92
Today Daily Change % -0.09
Today daily open 2028.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2045.32
Daily SMA50 2014.46
Daily SMA100 1965.57
Daily SMA200 1963.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2042.01
Previous Daily Low 2026.15
Previous Weekly High 2079.01
Previous Weekly Low 2024.43
Previous Monthly High 2144.48
Previous Monthly Low 1973.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2035.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2032.21
Daily Pivot Point S1 2022.41
Daily Pivot Point S2 2016.35
Daily Pivot Point S3 2006.55
Daily Pivot Point R1 2038.27
Daily Pivot Point R2 2048.07
Daily Pivot Point R3 2054.13

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD stands tall just below its highest level since January touched on Wednesday

AUD/USD stands tall just below its highest level since January touched on Wednesday

The AUD/USD pair holds above the 0.6700 mark during the Asian session on Thursday. The Australian Dollar continues to draw support from the upbeat domestic Retail Sales data released on Wednesday, which strengthened the case for a rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD lurches higher after US data dumps Greenback

EUR/USD lurches higher after US data dumps Greenback

EUR/USD found a leg up on Wednesday, climbing briefly above the 1.0800 handle after a broad miss in US economic figures hinted at further signs of a weakening US economy, sparking fresh hopes for an accelerated pace of rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and markets flowing out of the safe haven US Dollar.

EUR/USD News

Gold price remains supported by rising September Fed rate cut bets

Gold price remains supported by rising September Fed rate cut bets

Gold price oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. The softer US economic data released on Wednesday pointed to a slowing labor market and economic momentum, which lifted bets for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September. 

Gold News

PolitiFi meme coins surge as Biden support lowers

PolitiFi meme coins surge as Biden support lowers

Several political meme coins related to Vice President Kamala Harris rallied on Wednesday as prediction market odds favor her as the preferred Democrat nominee in the upcoming US presidential race.

Read more

Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Could the post-UK elections market moves resemble 1997 and 2010?

Thursday's UK elections expected to bring political change. Similar developments in both 1997 and 2010 weighed on the Pound. History points to a significant easing in Pound volatility across the board. Recent FTSE 100 performance matches the 2015 pre-election moves.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures