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EUR/USD dips amid Powell’s remarks, high US yields

  • EUR/USD drops 0.40% to 1.0742, influenced by Powell's hawkish remarks and rising US Treasury yields.
  • Powell emphasizes Fed's inflation target commitment, suggesting mid-year policy tweaks.
  • US January labor market strength bolsters USD, contrasting with Eurozone's economic fragility.
  • Euro falters as US Dollar Index climbs, with ECB policy easing expectations and focus on central bank moves.

The Euro (EUR) extended its losses against the Greenback (USD) in early trading during the New York session, down 0.40%, sponsored by high US Treasury yields and the strong US Dollar. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's Sunday interview delivered a hawkish message to the detriment of other G10 FX currencies. At the time of writing, the EUR/USD trades at 1.0742 after hitting a high of 1.0785.

EUR/USD faces downward pressure as Powell’s reiterate focus on inflation

Over the weekend, Powell commented that it was too early to ease policy while emphasizing the job is not done – driving inflation toward its 2% target. The Fed Chair added the first cut could happen in the middle of the year.

Meanwhile, data revealed last week struck a pleasant surprise for the US economy, as the Nonfarm Payrolls report for January showed the jobs market added 353K Americans to the workforce while the unemployment rate stood at 3.7%. That indicates the labor market remains strong, maintaining the soft-landing narrative in play.

US Treasury yields climbed sharply following the Fed’s Chair Powell interview, while the US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge to track the performance of the buck against other currencies, rose 0.41%, at 104.39.

The Euro weakened as Flash PMIs in the Eurozone (EU) stood at recessionary territory despite signaling the economy slightly recovered. In addition to that, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the block edged lower. Given the backdrop of the disinflation process in the EU, that could pave the way for the European Central Bank (ECB) to begin to ease policy.

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The EUR/USD has fallen below the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.0783, diving to a new year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.0725, about to pierce the December 8 low of 1.0723. A breach of the latter will clear the path to 1.0700. On the flip side, buyers could recover some territory past the 1.0750, followed by the 100-DMA and the 1.0800 figure.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0742
Today Daily Change-0.0051
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open1.0793
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0885
Daily SMA501.0911
Daily SMA1001.0783
Daily SMA2001.0839
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0898
Previous Daily Low1.078
Previous Weekly High1.0898
Previous Weekly Low1.078
Previous Monthly High1.1046
Previous Monthly Low1.0795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0825
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0853
Daily Pivot Point S11.075
Daily Pivot Point S21.0707
Daily Pivot Point S31.0633
Daily Pivot Point R11.0867
Daily Pivot Point R21.0941
Daily Pivot Point R31.0984

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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