Chinese Yuan: Upside bias toward 6.7600 against US Dollar – UOB

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

United Overseas Bank’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to remain in a narrow consolidation between 6.7680 and 6.7780 intraday after a lacklustre session. Over the next one to three weeks, Quek Ser Leang maintains a downside bias, still seeing scope for a move toward 6.7600 as long as 6.7820 strong resistance caps. Medium‑term, a sustained recovery would require a break above the 6.8430 21‑week EMA.

Dollar-Offshore Yuan retains mild downside bias

"24-HOUR VIEW: Yesterday, we expected USD to “consolidate between 6.7635 and 6.7755.” USD subsequently traded within a range of 6.7680/6.7763. The price action provides no fresh clues. Today, we expect USD to trade between 6.7680 and 6.7780."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: The following excerpt from our update yesterday remains valid: “Our most recent narrative was from last Wednesday (15 Jul, spot at 6.7720), when we highlighted that “downward momentum is increasing, and USD is likely to trade with a downside bias toward 6.7600.” While the downside bias remains intact as USD eked out a fresh low of 6.7635 yesterday, downward momentum has slowed somewhat. That said, there is still a chance for USD to decline to 6.7600 as long as 6.7820 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached.”"

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD bulls regain control above 0.6950 amid USD retreat

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the previous day's bounce from the weekly low, aiming for 0.7000 in Asia on Friday. The overnight pullback in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar below an 18-month high, which in turn offers some support to the pair. Meanwhile, hawkish RBA expectations also keep the major underpinned.

USD/JPY holds gains near 158.00 after Japan's weak Household Spending data

USD/JPY clings to gains around 158.00 after data showed on Friday that Japan's Household Spending fell for the ninth straight month, undermining the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as the overnight fall in US bond yields counters a hawkish Fed and geopolitical uncertainties, could cap any downside in the pair.

Gold remains range-bound below $4,200

Gold has given up some ground after an initial bullish attempt to reach weekly highs, returning to below the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The US Dollar’s strong upside momentum, combined with rising US Treasury yields across the curve, seems to keep further gains in the yellow metal under scrutiny.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?

Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?

The Euro is not the sick man of Europe. France's bond market is

EUR/USD remains under pressure, near the 17-month low of 1.1161 reached on Monday. The pair has lost more than 7% since its yearly peak, as concerns over France's public finances increasingly weigh on the single currency. But behind the weakness of the Euro (EUR), the problem does not necessarily lie with the European economy as a whole.