It looks like the Santa Claus Rally has ended with a 26-December selloff.

But, is that it?

 

If we look at the 4 major US indices we can see the daily charts still in bull runs.

Also, a standard method of determining a bull market is the 200-day simple moving average.

Price action occurring above the 200-day SMA is bullish.

We can also see the 50-day moving average acting as a dynamic line of support as price action has touched and risen several times.

These two moving averages also act as a long-term reversal indicator.

When the 50-day SMA passes below the 200, we call this a Death Cross and you can see why.

The opposite event is called a Golden Cross and we can see that this reversal is where we are now.

If you trade silver you will be familiar with chart patterns.

We can see several double tops and bottoms and head and shoulder patterns.

We just broke through the neckline of one and the exit point was indicated by this oversold stochastic oscillator.

If we consider that we are in a bear run, watch for confirmation of this downturn and be aware of a key level at $29.

If you are waiting, as many are, for a bit of strength in JPY, you may have to wait a little longer.

With USDJPY at 158 and GBPJPY approaching 200 again, we will have to wait for almost the end of January for the next BoJ Interest Rate Decision.

We will see you at the end of the week and please enjoy a fun and safe Happy New Year!

That’s all for now.

CFDs and FX are leveraged products and your capital may be at risk.

While we may offer market commentary based on fundamental or technical analysis, we do not offer trading advice and cannot be held liable for any decisions taken by viewers and readers of our material.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.0300, touches new two-year low

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.0300, touches new two-year low

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level since November 2022, below 1.0300 on Thursday. The US Dollar benefits from the risk-averse market atmosphere and the upbeat Jobless Claims data, causing the pair to stretch lower.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD slumps to multi-month lows below 1.2400 on broad USD strength

GBP/USD slumps to multi-month lows below 1.2400 on broad USD strength

Following an earlier recovery attempt, GBP/USD reversed its direction and declined to its weakest level in nearly eight months below 1.2400. The renewed US Dollar (USD) strength on worsening risk mood weighs on the pair as trading conditions normalize after the New Year break.

GBP/USD News
Gold benefits from risk aversion, climbs above $2,650

Gold benefits from risk aversion, climbs above $2,650

Gold gathers recovery momentum and trades at a two-week-high above $2,650 in the American session on Thursday. The precious metal benefits from the sour market mood and the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields. 

Gold News
These 5 altcoins are rallying ahead of $16 billion FTX creditor payout

These 5 altcoins are rallying ahead of $16 billion FTX creditor payout

FTX begins creditor payouts on January 3, in agreement with BitGo and Kraken, per an official announcement. Bonk, Fantom, Jupiter, Raydium and Solana are rallying on Thursday, before FTX repayment begins. 

Read more
Three Fundamentals: Year-end flows, Jobless Claims and ISM Manufacturing PMI stand out

Three Fundamentals: Year-end flows, Jobless Claims and ISM Manufacturing PMI stand out Premium

Money managers may adjust their portfolios ahead of the year-end. Weekly US Jobless Claims serve as the first meaningful release in 2025. The ISM Manufacturing PMI provides an initial indication ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures