This episode of Money Metals' Midweek Memo, hosted by Mike Maharrey, delves into the impact of government actions on the economy, the role of the Federal Reserve in inflation, and the strategic importance of investing in gold and silver.
Government incompetence or malevolence?
Maharrey begins by highlighting the inefficiencies and frustrations caused by government interventions, drawing parallels to everyday experiences like the DMV or navigating Medicare. He questions whether the government's missteps are due to sheer incompetence or malevolent intent, concluding that it's likely a mix of both.
Inflation: Intentional policy and incompetence
Maharrey emphasizes that inflation is a deliberate policy by the Federal Reserve and the government. He argues that their failure to control it is a sign of incompetence. According to Maharrey, the narrative that inflation is caused by external factors like supply chain issues or geopolitical events is a smokescreen.
Maharrey cites economist Milton Friedman, who stated, "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon."
Why inflate the currency?
The government devalues its currency to finance its expanding size and power without triggering a revolt from the populace. Maharrey explains that all government spending ultimately comes from the citizens' pockets, either through taxes or borrowing. With the national debt nearing $34.6 trillion and unfunded liabilities for Social Security and Medicare amounting to $175.3 trillion, the government resorts to the "inflation tax" as a hidden way to fund its expenditures.
The impact of inflation on the economy
Maharrey points out that inflation acts as a hidden tax, eroding the purchasing power of savings and wages. According to economist Daniel Lacalle, "The government's destruction of the purchasing power of the currency is a policy, not a coincidence."
Lacalle goes on to write, "Inflation is a hidden transfer of wealth from deposit savers and real wages to the government. It is a disguised tax."
This benefits the government and its cronies at the expense of the average citizen.
Maharrey describes the current state of monetary policy as akin to throwing darts at a dartboard, criticizing the Federal Reserve's inconsistent and often inaccurate projections.
Federal Reserve's track record
Maharrey, along with Fed watchdog David Hay, highlights the Federal Reserve's poor track record in predicting interest rates, noting that they only got it right 37% of the time.
For example, in March 2021, the Fed projected that interest rates would remain at zero in 2022, but the actual rate was 1.75%. Such inconsistencies undermine confidence in the Fed's ability to manage monetary policy effectively.
Monetary inflation vs Price inflation
Maharrey stresses the distinction between monetary inflation (an increase in the money supply) and price inflation (rising prices). While various factors can cause specific prices to rise, only an increase in the money supply causes a general rise in prices across the economy. He argues that the Fed's focus on controlling price inflation while ignoring the root cause—monetary inflation—is misguided.
The value of Gold
Real money, such as gold, tells the story of government monetary malfeasance. Despite fluctuations, gold has risen 89% in the past five years, outperforming the S&P 500, which increased by 85%.
Maharrey quotes economist Daniel Lacalle, who argues that gold remains exceedingly cheap given the ongoing devaluation of fiat currencies.
According to Lacalle, “Staying in cash is dangerous, accumulating government bonds is reckless, but rejecting gold is denying the reality of money."
Closing summary
In this episode of Money Metals' Midweek Memo, host Mike Maharrey critiques the government's handling of the economy, particularly focusing on inflation as a deliberate policy by the Federal Reserve to devalue the currency and manage debt. He argues that while the government benefits from inflation, it erodes the purchasing power of citizens' savings and wages, acting as a hidden tax.
Maharrey highlights the Federal Reserve's poor track record in predicting and controlling inflation, underscoring the need for individuals to protect their wealth through investments in gold and silver, which remain undervalued amidst ongoing monetary and fiscal mismanagement.
Money Metals Exchange and its staff do not act as personal investment advisors for any specific individual. Nor do we advocate the purchase or sale of any regulated security listed on any exchange for any specific individual. Readers and customers should be aware that, although our track record is excellent, investment markets have inherent risks and there can be no guarantee of future profits. Likewise, our past performance does not assure the same future. You are responsible for your investment decisions, and they should be made in consultation with your own advisors. By purchasing through Money Metals, you understand our company not responsible for any losses caused by your investment decisions, nor do we have any claim to any market gains you may enjoy. This Website is provided “as is,” and Money Metals disclaims all warranties (express or implied) and any and all responsibility or liability for the accuracy, legality, reliability, or availability of any content on the Website.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.