Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD confined within two key averages, awaits US CPI for fresh direction


  • Gold price bounces off 21-Daily Moving Average, but 50 DMA offers stiff resistance.
  • US Dollar recovers amid souring sentiment and buoyant US Treasury bond yields.
  • Gold price awaits US Consumer Price Index data for a fresh directional move.

Gold price is treading water while defending the critical 200-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at $1,920 during early Tuesday dealings. Gold price is losing the upside traction as the United States Dollar (USD) finds its feet amid a negative shift in risk sentiment and the buoyant tone seen around the US Treasury bond yields.

Focus shifts to US Consumer Price Index data for a clear direction

Despite a positive close on Wall Street overnight, thanks to the tech stocks rally, Asian markets have turned cautious and remain a mixed bag as investors weigh the recent policy guidance from the Chinese and Japanese central banks.

Traders also refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of the all-important Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States due on Wednesday, which will significantly influence the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook, helping shape broader market sentiment before next week’s Fed policy announcements.

Amidst a sense of caution, the US Dollar is finding its feet, regaining ground after falling the most in two months on profit-taking. Gold price is, therefore, struggling to extend its break above the bullish 200 DMA barrier, as the upside consolidation in the US Treasury bond yields also remains a drag on the non-interest-bearing Gold price.

The US Treasury bond yields continue to draw support from the optimism surrounding a likely ‘soft landing’ for the US economy. Looking ahead, the US inflation data will hold the key for a fresh directional move in Gold price, as the data would indicate whether the Federal Reserve has further to go in raising rates.

In the meantime, the Fed sentiment and risk trends will keep the US Dollar traders entertained, eventually impacting the Gold price action.

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

From a short-term technical perspective, nothing seems to have changed for the Gold price, as it is likely to extend its range trade between the horizontal 21- and 50-Daily Moving Averages (DMA) at $1,917 and $1,932 respectively, heading toward the US CPI release.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) trades listlessly beneath the midline, keeping Gold sellers hopeful.  

Gold sellers, however, need a daily closing below the 21 DMA support at $1,917 to confirm a range breakdown and revive the corrective downside toward the $1,900 threshold.

The following relevant cushion is $1,885, a line in the sand for Gold buyers.

Conversely, the immediate resistance is seen at the  50 DMA of $1,932, above which the 100 DMA hurdle at $1,949 will challenge bearish commitments.

The static resistance of $1,970 and the July 27 high of $1,982 will be next on the radar for Gold buyers.

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD bounces off lows near 1.0820, Dollar loses traction

EUR/USD bounces off lows near 1.0820, Dollar loses traction

EUR/USD attempts some recovery following lows near 1.0820 as the US Dollar chalks up another strong day. In the meantime, persistent tariff jitters and disappointing February US Producer Price data are keeping the pair on the back foot.

EUR/USD News
Gold pushes higher, retargets its all-time high

Gold pushes higher, retargets its all-time high

Gold is on a roll, surpassing the $2,950 mark per troy ounce amid the continuation of the upside impulse so far this week. Escalating trade tensions have heightened fears of an economic downturn, creating a risk-averse atmosphere that continues to make the precious metal an attractive safe haven.

Gold News
GBP/USD succumbs to USD gains, remains near 1.2940

GBP/USD succumbs to USD gains, remains near 1.2940

Persistent buying pressure in the Greenback is weighing on risk sentiment, motivating GBP/USD to gyrate around the 1.2940 region and erase its two-day rally for now.

GBP/USD News
Metaverse narrative stalls as price action fades, but on-chain data signals continuing accumulation

Metaverse narrative stalls as price action fades, but on-chain data signals continuing accumulation

Metaverse tokens are cryptocurrencies associated with virtual worlds, digital economies, and immersive online experiences. Tokens like Sandbox, Decentraland, and Axie Infinity, three of the most prominent assets during the Metaverse boom of 2021, continue to face correction since they topped in early December.

Read more
Brexit revisited: Why closer UK-EU ties won’t lessen Britain’s squeezed public finances

Brexit revisited: Why closer UK-EU ties won’t lessen Britain’s squeezed public finances

The UK government desperately needs higher economic growth as it grapples with spending cuts and potential tax rises later this year. A reset of UK-EU economic ties would help, and sweeping changes are becoming more likely.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025