EURUSD Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Lounge.
Euro/U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) – Day Chart.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis
-
Function: Counter Trend.
-
Mode: Corrective.
-
Structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.
-
Position: Gray Wave C.
-
Direction next lower degrees: Navy Blue Wave 3.
-
Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 appears completed, and now Navy Blue Wave 2 is in progress.
-
Wave cancel invalid level: 1.12136.
The Elliott Wave analysis for the EURUSD on the daily chart indicates the market is currently in a counter-trend phase, moving within a corrective pattern. The primary structure identified is Navy Blue Wave 2, following the conclusion of Navy Blue Wave 1.
Currently, the market is positioned within Gray Wave C, which represents the ongoing correction phase as part of the larger Navy Blue Wave 2. This corrective movement generally signals a temporary pullback or consolidation before the larger trend resumes.
Once the Navy Blue Wave 2 correction concludes, Navy Blue Wave 3 is anticipated to begin, potentially indicating a stronger impulsive move, whether upwards or downwards, depending on the market response. The current wave count remains valid as long as the price stays above the wave cancellation level.
The key invalidation level to monitor is 1.12136. Should the price dip below this level, the existing wave structure would be deemed invalid, prompting a reassessment of the wave count. Traders and analysts are carefully watching this level to ensure the market follows the expected corrective path.
Summary: The EURUSD daily chart presents a corrective phase within Navy Blue Wave 2, after the completion of Navy Blue Wave 1. The current market position is in Gray Wave C, and once Wave 2 ends, the next phase, Navy Blue Wave 3, is projected to start. The wave cancellation level to watch is 1.12136. If breached, the current wave analysis would no longer be valid.
Euro / U.S. Dollar (EURUSD) – 4 Hour Chart
EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis
-
Function: Counter Trend.
-
Mode: Corrective.
-
Structure: Navy Blue Wave 2.
-
Position: Gray Wave C.
-
Direction next lower degrees: Navy Blue Wave 3.
-
Details: Navy Blue Wave 1 appears completed, with Navy Blue Wave 2 now in play.
-
Wave cancel invalid level: 1.12136.
The Elliott Wave analysis for EURUSD on the 4-hour chart shows that the market is currently in a counter-trend phase, following a corrective mode. The primary wave structure under observation is Navy Blue Wave 2, which suggests the market is in a correction after the completion of Navy Blue Wave 1.
At present, the market is positioned within Gray Wave C, which forms part of the larger corrective phase of Navy Blue Wave 2. The analysis indicates that Navy Blue Wave 1 has concluded, and the market is now developing Navy Blue Wave 2. This phase typically involves a temporary pullback or consolidation before the trend resumes.
The next expected movement, once Wave 2 finishes, is Navy Blue Wave 3, which could signal the start of a more impulsive trend. This could mark the beginning of a new trend direction, either upward or downward, depending on how the market unfolds.
For traders, the critical level to watch is the wave cancellation point at 1.12136. If the price drops below this level, the current wave analysis would become invalid, and a reassessment of the wave count would be necessary. Until that point, the corrective phase within Wave 2 remains active, and further development within this structure is expected.
Summary: EURUSD is in a corrective phase with Navy Blue Wave 2 in progress, following the completion of Navy Blue Wave 1. The market is currently positioned within Gray Wave C, and the next move is projected to be Navy Blue Wave 3. The invalidation level to monitor is 1.12136.
Technical analyst: Malik Awais.
EUR/USD Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]
As with any investment opportunity there is a risk of making losses on investments that Trading Lounge expresses opinions on.
Historical results are no guarantee of future returns. Some investments are inherently riskier than others. At worst, you could lose your entire investment. TradingLounge™ uses a range of technical analysis tools, software and basic fundamental analysis as well as economic forecasts aimed at minimizing the potential for loss.
The advice we provide through our TradingLounge™ websites and our TradingLounge™ Membership has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. Reliance on such advice, information or data is at your own risk. The decision to trade and the method of trading is for you alone to decide. This information is of a general nature only, so you should, before acting upon any of the information or advice provided by us, consider the appropriateness of the advice considering your own objectives, financial situation or needs. Therefore, you should consult your financial advisor or accountant to determine whether trading in securities and derivatives products is appropriate for you considering your financial circumstances.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.