Market Highlights

  • Direction is Back

  • Greek Solution is No Resolution

  • Bitcoin on the Move Again

Please note: All data, figures & graphs are valid as of February 21st. All trading carries risk. Only risk capital you're prepared to lose.

Market Overview

Finally, things are moving at a normal pace again and the directionless period that we've seen since Trump's confusing conference seems to be over. Hooray!!

Here are the main contributing factors...

1. Trump has picked himself a new National Security Advisor to replace the shady one that had alleged ties to Russia. Overall, the markets see this as a good thing.

2. Hawkish comments from the Federal Reserve are boosting the Buck.

3. The Greek Debt crisis has once again been swept under the rug, which is hurting the Euro. 

For these three reasons and more, the US Dollar is king of the markets again. Here's a chart that shows the entire sequence of the last few days. This is the USDJPY 10 minutes per candle.

USDJPY

You can tell that Gold wants to go up but is having some trouble against the stronger Dollar. Right now we're looking at support at $1232 an ounce. If it falls below that we could be looking at $1220 before not too long.

Gold

The cherry on the top of this action packed market morning is Bitcoin with a rise of almost $40 a coin and reaching as high as $1095. If it passes $1100 today it's sure to get some very welcome love and attention.

BTC

The Fed (cont)

Fed member Harker stated that he "won't take March off the table" for a rate hike and has further reiterated the plan of three rate rises this year.

Currently, the market is pricing in a 36% chance of a rate hike in March and a 26% chance of three hikes this year.

We have an additional three fed members speaking today. Let's see if they can get those numbers up.

Greece (cont)

The Greek debt crisis is unsustainable. At the moment, the country owes more money than they can feasibly pay back.

Many were hoping for a swift resolution in Brussels before the elections in France blow the issue wide open. However, at this point, a swift resolution seems impossible and negotiations will again go down to the wire and will most likely be drawn out until July when their next payments are due.

For a full explanation of the Greek Debt Crisis, there's an excellent series on YouTube featuring Yanis Varoufakis. The former Greek finance minister who spat in the faces of the eurocrats and the only one man enough to tell them the truth to their faces.

What about the Pound?

The first item, the Brexit debates continue in the House of Lords. It's becoming clearer that even the Lords will have trouble shooting down the proposition of Brexit or calling for a second referendum. The people have spoken and though the vote was close, it is final.

The only question now is if they want to make any minor changes or stipulations to the way the negotiations are handled. 

We'll also be getting some economic data from the UK this morning as well as a speech from Governor Carney so we can expect heavy volatility on the Pound today.

At the moment, the sentiment in eToro is showing 72% buying the GBPUSD and expecting it to go up from here.

GBPUSD

Thanks for reading until the end. Let's have an awesome day ahead!!

Trading in the Foreign Exchange market might carry potential rewards, but also potential risks. You must be aware of the risks and are willing to accept them in order to trade in the foreign exchange market. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0900 amid weaker US Dollar

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.0900 amid weaker US Dollar

EUR/USD defends gains below 1.0900 in the European session on Monday. The US Dollar weakens, as risk sentiment improves, supporting the pair. The focus remains on the US political updates and mid-tier US data for fresh trading impetus. 

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2900 despite risk recovery

GBP/USD trades sideways above 1.2900 despite risk recovery

GBP/USD is keeping its range play intact above 1.2900 in the European session on Monday. The pair fails to take advantage of the recovery in risk sentiment and broad US Dollar weakness, as traders stay cautious ahead of key US event risks later this week. 

GBP/USD News

Gold price remains on edge on firm prospects of Trump’s victory

Gold price remains on edge on firm prospects of Trump’s victory

Gold price exhibits uncertainty near key support of $2,400 in Monday’s European session. The precious metal remains on tenterhooks amid growing speculation that Donald Trump-led-Republicans will win the US presidential elections in November. 

Gold News

Solana could cross $200 if these three conditions are met

Solana could cross $200 if these three conditions are met

Solana corrects lower at around $180 and halts its rally towards the psychologically important $200 level early on Monday. The Ethereum competitor has noted a consistent increase in the number of active and new addresses in its network throughout July. 

Read more

Election volatility and tech earnings take centre stage

Election volatility and tech earnings take centre stage

The US Dollar managed to end the week higher as Trump Trades ensued. Safe-havens CHF and JPY were also higher while activity currencies such as NOK and NZD underperformed.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures