Asian shares are set to inch higher Thursday, buoyed by U.S. inflation data that just handed the Fed a green light for another rate cut next month. Yet, gains might stay in check as traders use this rally to lock in profits or for others to reduce risk, all while eyeing Trump’s policy moves. With tariffs rumoured to be the next headline-grabber in his playbook, markets are on edge for what Chapter One could mean.
The latest U.S. CPI print showed a tame 0.2% month-over-month increase for October, in line with expectations and marking six consecutive months of controlled consumer inflation. This steady pace clears the way for a likely December rate cut, a “holiday treat” for investors. But, keep an eye on sticky shelter inflation—the persistent pressure could signal limits on further disinflationary momentum,
The bond market isn’t sitting still, with yields set to stay on the upswing as Wall Street grapples with a rising budget deficit, fiscal stimulus and trade tariffs from the incoming Trump administration and its impact on inflation expectations, which are creeping into a slightly uncomfortable 2.6% year-over-year level. This swirl of factors is fueling the dollar’s rally.
And then, there’s the “Yuan watch.” Traders are closely monitoring the People’s Bank of China’s daily USD/CNY fix, searching for any sign of resolve—or weakness. Yesterday’s fix came in surprisingly low, and now the market is testing the PBoC’s nerve. The fear? A quick spike in USD/CNY could unleash capital outflows, sending waves through global markets. A slight misstep could set off a cascade as we teeter on a line in the sand.
SPI Asset Management provides forex, commodities, and global indices analysis, in a timely and accurate fashion on major economic trends, technical analysis, and worldwide events that impact different asset classes and investors.
Our publications are for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities.
Opinions are the authors — not necessarily SPI Asset Management its officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. Losses can exceed investments.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
Australian Dollar appreciates despite stronger US Dollar, PMI awaited
The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to strengthen against the US Dollar (USD) following the release of mixed Judo Bank Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from Australia on Friday. The AUD also benefits from a hawkish outlook by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) regarding future interest rate decisions.
Japanese Yen remains on the front foot against USD, bulls seem non-committed
The Japanese Yen (JPY) attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Friday amid reviving bets for more interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), though it lacks any follow-through.
Gold advances to near two-week high, eyes $2,700 on geopolitical tensions
Gold price (XAU/USD) prolongs its uptrend for the fifth consecutive day on Friday and climbs to a nearly two-week top, around the $2,690-2,691 area during the Asian session. Intensifying Russia-Ukraine tensions force investors to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets and turn out to be a key factor underpinning the precious metal.
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH open interest surge to all-time high after recent price rally
Ethereum (ETH) is trading near $3,350, experiencing an 10% increase on Thursday. This price surge is attributed to strong bullish sentiment among derivatives traders, driving its open interest above $20 billion for the first time.
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era
The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.