|

WTI Price Analysis: WTI rises near $83.00 amid supply crunch fears

  • WTI rose near the $82.90 zone, setting a three-day winning streak.
  • Supply crunch fears amid the Hurracain Idalia tractions Oil prices.
  • A stronger USD and the fragile Chinese situation may limit the upside.

The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose on Wednesday and threatened the $83.00 resistance. 

What is driving the price upwards is Hurricane Idalia approaching the Gulf of Mexico, where the US concentrates 15% of its Oil production and supply crunch fears are increasing crude prices. In addition, the report of lower-than-expected US crude stockpiles released on Tuesday and the continuing manoeuvres by OPEC+ to extend its voluntary production cuts also contributes to the upside.

Moreover, China reported soft economic data during the Asian session, with the Non-Manufacturing PMI decreasing to 51.00, vs. the 51.1 expected, and the weak Chinese outlook may limit the black gold’s gains. In line with that, the USD is trading strong against most of its rivals, which could also hold back the WTI bulls.

 WTI Levels to watch 

 Analysing the daily chart, it is apparent that the WTI has a neutral to bullish technical stance, with the bulls gradually recovering ground. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a positive slope above its midline, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out decreasing red bars. Moreover, the pair is above the 20,100,200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), implying that the bulls retain control on a broader scale.

 Support levels: $81.25, $80.00, $78.50.

 Resistance levels: $83.00, $83.50, $84.50. 


 WTI Daily Chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price82.76
Today Daily Change1.28
Today Daily Change %1.57
Today daily open81.48
 
Trends
Daily SMA2080.91
Daily SMA5077.14
Daily SMA10075.1
Daily SMA20075.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High81.82
Previous Daily Low80.68
Previous Weekly High81.68
Previous Weekly Low77.53
Previous Monthly High81.78
Previous Monthly Low69.77
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.38
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.11
Daily Pivot Point S180.83
Daily Pivot Point S280.19
Daily Pivot Point S379.7
Daily Pivot Point R181.97
Daily Pivot Point R282.46
Daily Pivot Point R383.11

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).