WTI Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below $75.40


  • WTI picks up bids to snap three-day downtrend at monthly low.
  • Bearish MACD signals, previous support line challenge buyers.
  • Upside appears doubtful below 100-DMA, descending trend line from August also challenges the Oil buyers.
  • Seven-week-old horizontal support limits immediate downside ahead of 2023 bottom.

WTI crude oil licks its wounds near the one-month low, picking up bids to $73.70 during early Monday morning in Europe. In doing so, the black gold bounces off seven-week-old horizontal support to print the first daily gains in four.

However, the bearish MACD signals join the previous support line from early December 2022 to challenge the WTI recovery. Adding strength to the bearish bias could be the metal’s sustained weakness below the 100-DMA.

Hence, the quote’s latest rebound remains doubtful unless it stays below the support-turned-resistance line, close to $75.40 at the latest. Following that, a run-up toward $78.50 can’t be ruled out.

Even so, the 100-DMA and a descending trend line from late August 2022, respectively near $81.00 and $85.00, could challenge the energy bulls before giving them control.

On the contrary, pullback moves may retest the horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since mid-December, near $73.40.

In a case where the black gold remains bearish past $73.40, its decline to the year 2023 bottom of $70.27 and then to the $70.00 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out.

Overall, WTI remains on the bear’s radar despite the latest corrective pullback.

WTI: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 73.76
Today Daily Change 0.31
Today Daily Change % 0.42%
Today daily open 73.45
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 78.81
Daily SMA50 77.65
Daily SMA100 81.12
Daily SMA200 90.77
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 78.18
Previous Daily Low 73.36
Previous Weekly High 80.61
Previous Weekly Low 73.36
Previous Monthly High 82.68
Previous Monthly Low 72.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 75.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 76.34
Daily Pivot Point S1 71.81
Daily Pivot Point S2 70.17
Daily Pivot Point S3 66.99
Daily Pivot Point R1 76.63
Daily Pivot Point R2 79.82
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.45

 

 

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