|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil falls back below 200-day SMA

  • WTI flips the 200-day SMA into support after rejection at $41.28. 
  • A close below Thursday's low may invite more substantial chart-driven selling. 

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the North American oil benchmark, is trading below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $41.10.

The long-term average was breached on Thursday. However, the selling pressure ran out of steam at $40.22, and prices bounced back to levels above $41 early Friday only to turn lower again.

The black gold created a candle with a long lower wick on Thursday, aborting the immediate bearish view put forward by the downside break of an ascending trendline confirmed earlier this week

The focus now is on Friday's close. Acceptance below Thursday's low of $40.22 would revive the immediate bearish view and expose support at $38.72 (July 30 low). 

On the other hand, a close above Thursday's high of $41.79 would confirm reversal higher and allow a re-test of 43.78 (Aug. 26 high). 

Daily chart

Trend: Neutral

Technical levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price40.90
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.87
Today daily open41.47
 
Trends
Daily SMA2042.63
Daily SMA5041.52
Daily SMA10036.01
Daily SMA20041.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High41.99
Previous Daily Low40.45
Previous Weekly High43.86
Previous Weekly Low42.3
Previous Monthly High43.86
Previous Monthly Low39.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%41.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%41.4
Daily Pivot Point S140.61
Daily Pivot Point S239.76
Daily Pivot Point S339.07
Daily Pivot Point R142.16
Daily Pivot Point R242.85
Daily Pivot Point R343.71

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.