|

WTI Price Analysis: Oil bears need $69.60 break to retake controls

  • WTI remains pressured around intraday low, extends pullback from early August highs.
  • Monthly support line, 100-SMA challenge sellers amid bearish MACD.
  • Weekly resistance line, 12-day-old rising trend line adds to the upside filters.

WTI justifies Thursday’s Doji candlestick while taking offers around $71.15, down 0.90% intraday, heading into Monday’s European session open.

Although a short-term falling trend line and bearish MACD hints at the black gold’s further weakness, an ascending trend line from August 22 near $70.10 and the $70.00 threshold, not to forget the 100-SMA level of $69.90, will challenge the bears.

In a case where WTI drops below $69.60, the bearish momentum can aim for the monthly low surrounding $67.00, also including 50% Fibonacci retracement of August-September upside.

On the contrary, a downward sloping resistance line from last Wednesday, near $72.10, challenges the WTI recovery moves ahead of the monthly peak surrounding $72.90.

If the oil buyers keep reins past $72.90, an ascending trend line from September 02 near $73.70 will flash on their radars.

WTI: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price71.17
Today Daily Change-0.62
Today Daily Change %-0.86%
Today daily open71.79
 
Trends
Daily SMA2069.1
Daily SMA5069.27
Daily SMA10069.14
Daily SMA20063.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High72.47
Previous Daily Low71.01
Previous Weekly High72.88
Previous Weekly Low69.3
Previous Monthly High73.54
Previous Monthly Low61.73
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%71.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%71.91
Daily Pivot Point S171.04
Daily Pivot Point S270.3
Daily Pivot Point S369.58
Daily Pivot Point R172.5
Daily Pivot Point R273.22
Daily Pivot Point R373.96

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).