WTI Price Analysis: 50/100-HMA confluence guards immediate upside


  • WTI prints mild losses while declining below $48.00.
  • Receding MACD histogram, strong upside hurdle challenge bulls.
  • Two-week-old horizontal support restricts short-term declines, buyers can remain hopeful beyond August top.

WTI eases to $47.79, down 0.10% intraday, during early Tuesday. The energy benchmark posted the biggest daily losses in six weeks the previous day. Though, a horizontal line comprising multiple levels since December 09 restricted further downside.

It should, however, be noted that the corrective recovery beyond the stated support line fails to cross a confluence of 50 and 100-HMAs. The receding upside momentum also takes clues from the MACD histogram, which in turn suggests the immediate weakness of the black gold.

As a result, the $47.00 threshold can lure the oil sellers ahead of directing them to the aforementioned support near $46.25. Though, any further weakness will not hesitate to challenge the monthly low near $44.00.

However, WTI buyers are likely to remain hopeful unless witnessing a daily closing below August month’s top near $43.85.

On the contrary, a clear break above the SMA convergence near $48.15 will quickly challenge the multi-month peak, marked last Friday, near $49.45.

Overall, the energy prices are in an uptrend that eyes the $50.00 threshold.

WTI hourly chart

Trend: Bullish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 47.8
Today Daily Change -0.04
Today Daily Change % -0.08%
Today daily open 47.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 46.4
Daily SMA50 42.62
Daily SMA100 41.75
Daily SMA200 37
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 49.26
Previous Daily Low 46.27
Previous Weekly High 49.43
Previous Weekly Low 45.87
Previous Monthly High 46.31
Previous Monthly Low 33.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 47.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 48.12
Daily Pivot Point S1 46.32
Daily Pivot Point S2 44.8
Daily Pivot Point S3 43.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 49.31
Daily Pivot Point R2 50.78
Daily Pivot Point R3 52.29

 

 

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