|

WTI Price Analysis: Bulls need to get over the line, $83.30 eyed

  • WTI bears are holding the fort at $81.00 which guards the key structure of $83.30.
  • While below resistance, there are prospects of a move lower into the coil that is in progress between $81.00 and $70.10 bear cycle lows. 

As per the prior analysis, WTI Price Analysis: Bulls press against daily trendline resistance, bears are lurking, the resistance in the $80s is of key importance for the foreseeable future. The following illustrates recent developments that resulted in a break of the bear cycle's daily trendline and prospects of a phase of accumulation that could result in a significant bullish correction going forward. 

WTI prior analysis

it was stated that A break of structure opens risk to a run towards 93.25 / 95.33 and higher in a correction of the 2022 summer commencing bearish cycle:

However, were are not there yet. The bulls have only managed to pierce the trendline resistance and the breakout structure remains intact: 

While the proposed price action from here is typical of such a break in structure and accumulation schematics, it is yet to be seen how the bears will react to the recent developments in price action. The certainty is that 81.00 is holding as resistance for the time being guarding the key structure of 83.20. While below this area of resistance, there are prospects of a move lower into the coil that is in progress between there and 70.10 bear cycle lows.

WTI H1 chart

The above illustrates the possibility of a breakdown in hourly structure for the sessions ahead. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.