• Central bank rate hikes, led by BoE, stoke fears of diminished oil demand.
  • WTI falls despite recent OPEC+ output cuts and surprise dip in US crude inventories.
  • Traders shift focus to China’s upcoming factory activity data amidst concerns over an economic slowdown.

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, plummeted more than 3% after more central banks led by the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates, which weigh on growth, suggesting less demand for oil. At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $69.28 per barrel after hitting a daily high of $72.61.

Crude oil tumbles over 3% as central banks tighten, and China’s economy weakens

Investors sentiment remains fragile, though shifted slightly positive, as US equities trade mixed. WTI erased Wednesday’s gains. Increased concerns over an economic slowdown in China weigh on Oil prices, despite the crude output cuts foreseen by OPEC+, as seen in the latest rate cuts implemented by the People’s Bank of China (PboC).

Aside from this, the BoE raised rates by 50 bps, dampening the economic outlook in the UK., as higher rates could slow economic growth.

In the meantime, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell concluded its first-half testimony before the US Congress, maintaining its neutral stance, reiterating that two interest rate increases are still on the table.

Nevertheless, traders seem to ignore the latest Fed dot plots revealed last week, as shown by the CME FedWatch Tool, as they only expect one additional increase in July of 25 bps as odds lie at 76.9%.

A US Energy Information Administration (EIA) report revealed that crude inventories fell by 3.8 million barrels last week to 463.3 million, below analysts’ expectations for a 300,000-barrel rise.

Meanwhile, WTI traders’ focus shifted towards releasing China’s factory activity next week, which could shed some light on the strength of China’s economy.

WTI Technical Levels

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 69.35
Today Daily Change -3.00
Today Daily Change % -4.15
Today daily open 72.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 70.87
Daily SMA50 73.07
Daily SMA100 74.49
Daily SMA200 77.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 72.7
Previous Daily Low 70.81
Previous Weekly High 72.02
Previous Weekly Low 66.95
Previous Monthly High 76.61
Previous Monthly Low 64.31
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 71.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 71.53
Daily Pivot Point S1 71.21
Daily Pivot Point S2 70.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 69.31
Daily Pivot Point R1 73.1
Daily Pivot Point R2 73.85
Daily Pivot Point R3 74.99

 

 

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