WTI fades bounce off two-week low amid mixed concerns


  • WTI struggles to hold the previous day’s rebound amid quiet markets.
  • Cautious sentiment ahead of US Core PCE inflation data, absence of US stimulus deal test recovery moves.
  • Softer USD, hopes of firmer energy demand  favor bulls.

WTI drops back towards the $82.00 threshold, down 0.40% intraday around $82.15 amid an inactive start to Friday’s trading. The black gold marked a notable reversal from a fortnight low the previous day.

The oil benchmark dropped to the lowest since October 14 the previous day amid the initial US dollar pick-up and risk-off mood during early Thursday. However, the US dollar’s slump following the US Q3 GDP and European Central Bank (ECB) Interest Rate Decision recall the oil buyers.

That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) dropped the most since October 13  after the US Q3 GDP US Q3 GDP slipped below 2.7% forecast to 2.0%, much lower than 6.7% prior. Also favoring USD bears was the European Central Bank’s (ECB) hint to start tapering the monthly bond purchases while saying the PEPP (that’s the pandemic emergency purchase program) will end next March. The regional central bank left monetary policy unchanged, as expected, with refinancing rate at 0.0% and deposit rates at -0.5%.

Elsewhere, Russia signals to help Europe tackle the gas crisis jostles with the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to confuse the energy traders. Additionally, the supply outage fears and producers’ readiness to ease production controls, with lesser pace, also flash mixed messages and challenge the quote.

It should be noted that the absence of a deal on the US President Joe Biden’s $1.75 trillion infrastructures spending plan seems to have recently weighed on the S&P 500 Futures even as the Wall Street benchmark closed positive. The same should have exerted the latest pressured on the WTI prices.

Moving on, US Core PCE Inflation data for October, Fed’s favorite price pressure indicator will be important to watch for fresh impulse amid chatters over monetary policy tightening. The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) - Price Index for September is likely to ease to 0.2% from 0.3% prior on the MoM basis. Additionally, the weekly prints of the Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count, previous +443, will also be important to watch for oil traders.

Technical analysis

Only if the quote manages to provide a daily closing below the two-month-old support line near $81.40, the WTI sellers may take risk of entry, until then the black gold is ready to refresh multi-month high above $85.00.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 82.36
Today Daily Change 0.73
Today Daily Change % 0.89%
Today daily open 81.63
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 80.32
Daily SMA50 73.96
Daily SMA100 72.52
Daily SMA200 67.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 84.05
Previous Daily Low 81.59
Previous Weekly High 83.92
Previous Weekly Low 80.61
Previous Monthly High 76.51
Previous Monthly Low 67.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 82.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 83.11
Daily Pivot Point S1 80.8
Daily Pivot Point S2 79.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 78.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 83.26
Daily Pivot Point R2 84.89
Daily Pivot Point R3 85.73

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD trades sideways below 1.0450 amid quiet markets

EUR/USD trades sideways below 1.0450 amid quiet markets

EUR/USD defends gains below 1.0450 in European trading on Monday. Thin trading heading into the Xmas holiday and a modest US Dollar rebound leaves the pair in a familair range. Meanwhile, ECB President Lagarde's comments fail to impress the Euro. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.2600 after UK Q3 GDP revision

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.2600 after UK Q3 GDP revision

GBP/USD trades on the defensive below 1.2600 in the European session on Monday. The pair holds lower ground following the downward revision to the third-quarter UK GDP data, which weighs negatively on the Pound Sterling amid a broad US Dollar uptick. 

GBP/USD News
Gold price holds comfortably above $2,600 mark; lacks bullish conviction

Gold price holds comfortably above $2,600 mark; lacks bullish conviction

Gold price oscillates in a range at the start of a new week amid mixed fundamental cues. Geopolitical risks continue to underpin the XAU/USD amid subdued US Dollar price action. The Fed’s hawkish stance backs elevated US bond yields and caps the pair’s gains.

Gold News
The US Dollar ends the year on a strong note

The US Dollar ends the year on a strong note

The US Dollar ends the year on a strong note, hitting two-year highs at 108.45. The Fed expects a 50-point rate cut for the full year 2025 versus 4 cuts one quarter earlier, citing higher inflation forecasts and a stubbornly strong labour market. 

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures