WTI crude oil is on the back foot as risk-off prevails


  • Texas reported its highest one-day increase in COVID-19 case numbers.
  • WTI is trading over 1% lower at $35.72 after falling from a high of 436.31 to a low of $35,58 so far in the Asian session. 

The price of a barrel of crude oil is on the back foot during the Asian session and is embarking in a test of the overnight lows at $35.40 in WTI.

At the time of writing, WTI is trading over 1% lower at $35.72 after falling from a high of 436.31 to a low of $35,58. 

Risk assets are crumbling amid a risk-off tone across markets as investors fret about the second wave of infections of the coronavirus and a sombre outcome from yesterday's Federal Reserve meeting.

There was some late news in the day which hammered in the nail for US sentiment that Texas reported its highest one-day increase in COVID-19 case numbers, on Wednesday.

Florida reported the most cases of any seven-day period and California’s hospitalisations are back at their highest since 13 May. 

However, crude-oil futures had already dropped Thursday in tandem with a sell-off in US stocks while investors weighed both demand and supply bearish fundamentals.

Supply bearish fundamentals

Stockpiles of the black gold in the US rose by 5.7 million barrels for the week ended June 5,  much higher than the market had been expecting. Analysts polled by S&P Global Platts for an average decline of 3.2 million barrels. Inventories of gasoline and distillate fuel also rose.

"Over one million barrels of oil will be returning to the market, as Gulf nations curtail their massive voluntary cuts,' analysts at TD Securities explained. 

As risks emerge, WTI may again drift down to just under $35/bbl and Brent to $38.50/bbl, which prompted us to take profits on our Long WTI Dec-Dec spread trade.

The analysts cite concerns that shale production cuts may ease continue to loom over markets, as prices surge toward breakevens. 


We see risks emerging, due to the less-than-stellar supply projections. With refinery runs in the US struggling to pick up despite the modest demand-side normalization, the projected 2 billion bbls inventory accumulation during H1-20 may take longer-than-expected to unwind. 

WTI levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price 35.86
Today Daily Change -0.52
Today Daily Change % -1.43
Today daily open 36.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 35.21
Daily SMA50 28.3
Daily SMA100 35.49
Daily SMA200 46.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 39.25
Previous Daily Low 35.64
Previous Weekly High 39.81
Previous Weekly Low 34.45
Previous Monthly High 35.92
Previous Monthly Low 19.61
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 37.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 37.87
Daily Pivot Point S1 34.93
Daily Pivot Point S2 33.48
Daily Pivot Point S3 31.31
Daily Pivot Point R1 38.54
Daily Pivot Point R2 40.7
Daily Pivot Point R3 42.15

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD drops below 1.0500 after US PMI data

EUR/USD drops below 1.0500 after US PMI data

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades below 1.0500 on Monday. The upbeat ISM Manufacturing PMI data for November provides an additional boost to the US Dollar, forcing the pair to extend its slide in the American session.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD slumps below 1.2650 on broad USD strength

GBP/USD slumps below 1.2650 on broad USD strength

Following a consolidation phase in the early European session, GBP/USD turns south and trades below 1.2650 on Monday. The pickup in the safe-haven demand for the US Dollar, in addition to the better-than-forecast US Manufacturing PMI data, weighs on the pair.

GBP/USD News
Gold stays below $2,650 as US yields push higher

Gold stays below $2,650 as US yields push higher

Gold starts the new week on the back foot and trades below $2,650. The renewed US Dollar strength and the recovery seen in the US Treasury bond yields don't allow the pair to stage a rebound despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Gold News
The week ahead: Payrolls take centre stage, as French government poised to collapse

The week ahead: Payrolls take centre stage, as French government poised to collapse

At the start of this week, the focus is likely to be on France. On Sunday, Marine Le Pen said that her party’s talks with the government led by Michel Barnier, had broken down, which paves the way for a no-confidence vote in the technocratic government that has no majority in Parliament. 

Read more
Trump warns BRICS over Dollar rival plans

Trump warns BRICS over Dollar rival plans

Donald Trump, the incoming U.S. President, has issued a strong warning to BRICS nations over their plans to challenge the dominance of the U.S. dollar in global trade. 

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures