|

Wall Street records solid gains following Powell's dovish shift

  • FOMC Chairman Powell says policy rate is near their estimate of neutral.
  • 10 of 11 major S&P 500 sectors close the day in the positive territory.
  • Improved sentiment boosts technology.

After starting the day modestly higher, major equity indexes in the U.S. received a boost from FOMC Chairman Powell's remarks on the monetary policy outlook and closed the day sharply higher. 

Speaking at the Economic Club of New York luncheon on Wednesday, Powell said that the policy rate was 'just below' their estimate of neutral and triggered a rally in stock markets, which were worried about the potential negative impact of rate hikes on the economic growth. Additionally, the second estimate of the GDP growth published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis stayed unchanged at 3.5%. The improved sentiment helped the risk-sensitive S&P 500 Technology Index close the day 3.44% higher. 

Commenting on the market reaction, "Powell gave the market, and presumably President Trump, exactly what he wanted, which was an admission that the previously proposed path of future rate hikes was probably too aggressive," Oliver Pursche, chief market strategist at Bruderman Asset Management in New York, told Reuters.

Despite another sharp fall in crude oil prices, the S&P 500 Energy Index rose 1.75% while the Consumer Discretionary added 3.23% to become the best performing sector behind technology. The S&P 500 Utilities Index, which is seen as a defensive sector, was the only major sector that finished the day in the negative territory with a 0.12% loss.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 617.64 points, or 2.5%, to 25,366.37, the S&P 500 added 61.61 points, or 2.30%, to 2,743.78 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 208.89 points, or 2.95%, to 7,291.59.

Technical outlook by FXStreet Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik

The index is at its highest since November 19, not yet out of the woods, according to the daily chart, in where it finished above the 20 and 200 DMA but still below the 100 DMA, this last over 200 points above the current level and directionless. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart have turned sharply higher, but only the RSI entered positive ground, now at 54.

In the 4 hours chart, however, the upside seems a bit more constructive, as the index is above all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA turning north far below the current level and the 100 and 200 SMA converging around 25,190, while technical indicators barely lost upward strength within extreme overbought levels. Some relevant intraday highs come around 25,500 the level to surpass for the index to re-enter bullish ground.

Support levels: 25,309 - 25,244 - 25,190.

Resistance levels: 25,372 - 25,427 - 25,480.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD off highs, back to 1.1850

EUR/USD loses some upside momentum, returning to the 1.1850 region amid humble losses. The pair’s slight decline comes against the backdrop of a marginal advance in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings.

GBP/USD advances to daily tops around 1.3650

GBP/USD now manages to pick up extra pace, clinching daily highs around 1.3650 and leaving behind three consecutive daily pullbacks on Friday. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the inconclusive price action of the Greenback, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborates with the uptick.

Gold surpasses $5,000/oz, daily highs

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s upside is also propped up by the lack of clear direction around the US Dollar post-US CPI release.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.