|

USD/TRY retreats on much-needed intervention after Lira plummets past 4.925

  • Turkish Lira halts free-fall as central bank steps in to halt decline.
  • Turkish president Erdogan is threatening to take greater control of monetary policy post-election.

The Turkish Lira has bounced from central bank intervention after a scorching run down the charts, and the USD/TRY is back into 4.5685.

The Lira tumbled 5.7% on Wednesday in the lead-up to intervention by the Turkish central bank, and the USD/TRY pair peaked at an all-time high of 4.9262 before the central bank boosted late cash rates by 300 basis points on Wednesday, sending the pair back beneath the 4.5700 level.

The Turkish Lira has been hammered by double-digit inflation, and the Lira has been systematically grinding lower, though political instability and a lack of confidence in Turkey's President Recep Erdogan has ramped up the sell-off in recent months. The Turkish Lira, hampered by a country riddled with political strife and failed coup attempts, is rapidly approaching the 5.0000 level against the US Dollar, after starting out almost on par with the Greenback at 1.1493 in April of 2008.

USD/TRY levels to watch

The central bank's indirect intervention in the TRY has knocked the inflation-fueled currency back for now, but following President Erdogan's stated intent of taking firmer control of monetary policy after he wins the next election, further weakness could challenge Turkey's control over its currency. As FXStreet's own Pablo Piovano noted just before the central bank's intervention, "on the flip side, the next support is located at 4.4920 (10-day sma) followed by 4.3227 (21-day sma) and then 4.2197 (low May 10)."

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hovers around 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot around 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.