|

USD/TRY Price Analysis: Steady below 5-DMA but bulls aren’t out of the woods

  • USD/TRY sellers take a breather following two-day downtrend.
  • Overbought RSI, SMA breakdown signals further pullback.
  • Seven-week-old support line challenges the bears, bulls eye record top.

USD/TRY seesaws near $9.5430-25, keeping the previous day’s 5-DMA breakdown ahead of Wednesday’s European session. The Turkish Lira (TRY) pair dropped during the last two days after refreshing the all-time high earlier in the week.

Although overbought RSI and the near-term moving average breakdown favor USD/TRY sellers, an upward sloping support line from September 07, near $9.2170, restricts immediate downside.

Even if the pair sellers conquer the $9.2170 level, the $9.000 threshold and September’s peak around $8.9590 will question the further downside.

Meanwhile, recovery moves need to cross the 5-DMA hurdle of $9.5590 to recall the USD/TRY bulls.

Following that, the $9.6000 and $9.6660 may prone the advances before the all-time high of $9.8505.

In a case where the USD/TRY run-up remains intact beyond $9.8505, the $9.9000 psychological magnet will be in focus.

USD/TRY: Daily chart

Trend: Bullish

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks to regain the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD regains some balance and trade just above 1.1600 the figure ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair initially dipped to the 1.1530 zone for the first time since November, always following the stronger US Dollar and the marked flight-to-safety in the context of the ongoing Middle East crisis
 

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold bounces off lows, back above $5,100

Gold remains on the defensive, eroding part of the recent multi-day advance and managing to trade back above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal initially dropped just below the critical $5,000 threshold on the back of the persistent strength of the Greenback, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and investors' repricing of Fed rate cuts.

XRP risks extending losses as US-Iran war rages on

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.