- Market sentiment is skewing towards a potential test of the Dollar’s downside this week.
- Last week’s soft NFP report from April continues to weigh on the USD.
- Fed officials hold to Powell’s speech, lack of progress in inflation but that cuts will eventually come.
On Monday, the USD/THB is trading lower on Monday as the USD remains weak following Friday’s weak Nonfarm Payrolls report. Several Federal Reserve (Fed) officials were on the wires, but didn’t provide additional guidance on the Fed’s stance other than the one provided in last week’s decision. The bank remains data-dependant awaiting to gain more confidence to start cutting.
That being said, markets adjusted their expectations on the Fed and now foresee higher chances of the first cut in July and September, which may add pressure to the Dollar in the near term. These factors, along with a lack of major data releases this week for markets to digest, create an ambiance of uncertainty for the US currency, which may push the market towards a Dollar downside test this week.
USD/THB technical analysis
On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals a tendency towards the negative zone, with the latest reading just above 50. This hints at a potential bearish cycle in the absence of a strong buying push. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows rising red bars, indicating a gradual increase in negative momentum.
USD/THB daily chart
In an overview of the broader performance, the USD/THB is currently exhibiting significant long-term strength. The pair is positioned above both the 100 and 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), suggesting a resilient upward trend. On the shorter horizon, the pair remains below the 20-day SMA, which may signify that in the short term, the bear might take the lead. So the daily indicators and the pair’s position below the 20-day SMA may suggest that further downside may be on the horizon.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD tumbles below 1.0800 on Trump’s tariff plan
The EUR/USD pair plunges to near 1.0780 amid the renewed US Dollar demand on Friday during the Asian trading hours. Also, Donald Trump’s proposals to raise tariffs weigh on the Euro against the Greenback. Traders await the advanced US Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for November for fresh impetus.
GBP/USD faces rejection near 100-day SMA, holds above mid-1.2900s
GBP/USD edges lower on Friday amid the emergence of some USD dip-buying. The BoE’s hawkish tilt could underpin the GBP and limit losses for the major. The technical setup favors bears and supports prospects for a further downfall.
Gold appears stuck between key technical levels, what’s next?
Gold price has returned to the red early Thursday after reversing more than half of the Trump win-led 3% slide on Wednesday. Gold sellers fight back control, as the US Dollar finds its feet amid a pause in the US Treasury bond yields sell-off while awaiting the Michigan preliminary Consumer Sentiment data.
BTC touches new all-time high near $77,000 following Fed rate cut
Bitcoin price rallied and reached a new all-time high of $76,849 following the US Federal Reserve’s 25 basis point rate cut. Ethereum and Ripple followed suit and closed above their key resistance levels, hinting at a possible rally ahead.
Outlook for the markets under Trump 2.0
On November 5, the United States held presidential elections. Republican and former president Donald Trump won the elections surprisingly clearly. The Electoral College, which in fact elects the president, will meet on December 17, while the inauguration is scheduled for January 20, 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.