|

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Pair extends gains around 17.1340, aligns to seven-day EMA

  • USD/MXN trades higher on the back of the Fed's hawkish stance on interest rates trajectory.
  • MACD indicates that recent strength may perish.
  • 17.0000 psychological level lined up with the weekly low emerges as the key support.

USD/MXN continues to gain on the second successive day, trading higher around 17.1340 during the Asian session on Thursday. As anticipated, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) opted to keep the existing benchmark policy rates unchanged at 5.5% during the meeting held on Wednesday.

Fed projected an additional rate hike in 2023, which reinforces the strength of the USD/MXN pair. Moreover, in its monetary policy statement, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has revealed its expectation for slightly elevated inflation compared to its previous forecasts.

The immediate support for the USD/MXN pair appears around the 17.0000 psychological level lined up with the weekly low at 16.9985.

A break below the latter could help the pair to navigate the region around the 16.9000 psychological level.

On the upside, the seven-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 17.1394 emerges as the immediate barrier, following the 17.1500 psychological level.

A firm break above the level could inspire the USD/MXN bulls to explore the region around the 17.1600 level aligned to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at the 17.1626 level.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line remains above the centerline, but it exhibits a pattern of divergence beneath the signal line. This pattern indicates that the recent strength in the USD/MXN pair may perish.

However, the pair’s momentum is neutral as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) lies on the 50 level.

USD/MXN: Daily Chart

USD/MXN: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.1328
Today Daily Change0.0405
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open17.0923
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.1281
Daily SMA5017.0213
Daily SMA10017.2079
Daily SMA20017.9176
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.1
Previous Daily Low16.9982
Previous Weekly High17.5959
Previous Weekly Low17.0504
Previous Monthly High17.4274
Previous Monthly Low16.6945
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.0611
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.0371
Daily Pivot Point S117.027
Daily Pivot Point S216.9618
Daily Pivot Point S316.9253
Daily Pivot Point R117.1288
Daily Pivot Point R217.1652
Daily Pivot Point R317.2305

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.