USD/MXN Price Analysis: Falling wedge lures Mexican Peso bears, focus on 16.80


  • USD/MXN portrays falling wedge bullish chart formation at the lowest levels since December 2015.
  • Gradually firmer RSI (14) favors gradual recovery of the Mexican Peso pair.
  • Convergence of 100-SMA, weekly resistance line appears a tough nut to crack for bulls.
  • Sellers could aim for late 2015 lows on breaking 16.67 support.

USD/MXN grind near intraday high as it prods the key upside hurdle within a bullish chart pattern during early Wednesday, close to 16.75 by the press time.

In doing so, the Mexican Peso (MXN) pair jostles with an upper line of a one-week-old falling wedge bullish formation.

Adding credence to the recovery hopes is the RSI (14) line that portrays higher lows, as well as mark the divergence with the price even when the USD/MXN dropped to a fresh low since December 2015.

With this, the USD/MXN pair is likely to confirm the falling wedge chart pattern by crossing the 16.76 hurdle, which in turn suggests a theoretical target of 17.03.

However, a convergence of the 100-SMA and a descending trend line from July 11, around 16.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers.

On the contrary, the latest multi-month low marked on Tuesday, around 16.69, precedes the stated wedge’s bottom line of near 16.67 to restrict the short-term downside of the USD/MXN pair.

Following that, the lows marked in December and November of 2015, respectively around 1647 and 16.35, will gain the Mexican Peso pair seller’s attention.

USD/MXN: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 16.7548
Today Daily Change 0.0038
Today Daily Change % 0.02%
Today daily open 16.751
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 17.0304
Daily SMA50 17.3112
Daily SMA100 17.754
Daily SMA200 18.5137
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 16.783
Previous Daily Low 16.6924
Previous Weekly High 17.1746
Previous Weekly Low 16.7167
Previous Monthly High 17.7286
Previous Monthly Low 17.0243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 16.7484
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 16.727
Daily Pivot Point S1 16.7013
Daily Pivot Point S2 16.6515
Daily Pivot Point S3 16.6107
Daily Pivot Point R1 16.7919
Daily Pivot Point R2 16.8327
Daily Pivot Point R3 16.8825

 

 

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