|

USD/MXN gains ground on subdued US Dollar, trades higher near 17.25

  • USD/MXN receives upward support as the Greenback suffers losses.
  • The decline in US bond yields reinforces the weakening of the US Dollar.
  • Banxico survey increased their growth forecast from 2.10% to 2.29%, with inflation to reach 4.0% in 2024.

USD/MXN extends its gains on the second consecutive session, trading higher near 17.25 during the European hours on Monday. The USD/MXN pair gains ground on the subdued US Dollar, which could be attributed to the lowered US Treasury yields.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) moves sideways to 102.50, by the press time, with 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons standing lower at 4.41% and 3.91%, respectively.

Additionally, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic has suggested the potential for an interest rate cut in the third quarter of 2024. Meanwhile, Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee has not ruled out the possibility of a rate cut at the Federal Reserve's meeting next March. These dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials contribute to the prevailing pressure on the Greenback.

According to the Banxico survey, Mexican economists have increased their growth forecast for 2024 from 2.10% to 2.29%, while anticipating inflation to reach 4.0% next year. In terms of monetary policy, they expect the central bank to bring rates down to 9.25%.

The Mexican Peso (MXN) has received upward support following Banxico's decision to maintain policy rates at the level of 11.25%. This decision and the economic outlook provided by the survey are contributing factors to the currency's positive momentum.

Investors will likely observe data releases from Mexico including Private Spending, Retail Sales, and seasonally adjusted Trade Balance for November. On the United States docket, Consumer Confidence and Existing Home Sales Change will be eyed.

USD/MXN: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price17.2535
Today Daily Change0.0454
Today Daily Change %0.26
Today daily open17.2081
 
Trends
Daily SMA2017.2652
Daily SMA5017.6149
Daily SMA10017.4213
Daily SMA20017.5359
 
Levels
Previous Daily High17.3441
Previous Daily Low17.1714
Previous Weekly High17.4668
Previous Weekly Low17.141
Previous Monthly High18.0807
Previous Monthly Low17.0338
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%17.2781
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%17.2374
Daily Pivot Point S117.1383
Daily Pivot Point S217.0685
Daily Pivot Point S316.9655
Daily Pivot Point R117.311
Daily Pivot Point R217.4139
Daily Pivot Point R317.4837

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD softens below 1.1750 after Fed Minutes

The EUR/USD pair attracts some sellers near 1.1745 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar edges higher against the Euro after the release of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The US Initial Jobless Claims report will be released later in the day. Trading volumes are expected to remain thin ahead of the New Year holidays.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

When the tape goes quiet the positioning speaks

From the outside this session looked like paint drying. Indexes barely moved. No reaction to Case Shiller. No reaction to the Fed minutes. The S&P 500 parked itself right where it started, and the much-discussed Santa rally stalled into a polite cough.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).