|

USD/KRW technical analysis: Rises to key trendline hurdle, BOK keep rates unchanged

  • USD/KRW is revisiting former support-turned-resistance of a key rising trendline.
  • USD/KRW created a bearish outside day pattern on Thursday.

USD/KRW picked up a bid around 1,207 earlier today and is now probing the resistance of the trendline connecting July 1 and July 31 lows. As of writing, the trendline hurdle is located at 1,210.

A strong rejection at the trendline hurdle and a drop below $1,207 (Thursday's low) would validate the bearish outside bar candlestick pattern created yesterday and invite stronger selling pressure, possibly leading to a drop to 1,199 (Aug. 21 low).

The Bank of Korea kept the interest rates unchanged at 1.5% earlier today. So, the pair could drop below $1,207 later today.

However, a majority of economists polled by Reuters expect the central bank to cut rates to a record low of 1.25% at the Oct. 17 meeting.

So, dips to 1,199, if any, could be reversed ahead of the BOK's October meeting.

Daily chart

Trend: bearish below 1,207

Pivot points

    1. R3 1223.42
    2. R2 1220.21
    3. R1 1214.67
  1. PP 1211.46
    1. S1 1205.91
    2. S2 1202.7
    3. S3 1197.16

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays depressed near 1.1850 ahead of German ZEW

EUR/USD remains in the red near 1.1850 in the European session on Tuesday. A broad US Dollar bullish consolidation combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined ahead of the German ZEW sentiment survey. 

GBP/USD drops below 1.3600 after weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD is seeing a fresh selling wave, giving up the 1.3600 level in Tuesday's European trading. The United Kingdom employment data showed worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month. This narrative is weighing heavily on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold adds to intraday losses as risk-on mood offsets dovish Fed and subdued USD demand

Gold attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and dives to over a one-week low, around the $4,858 area, heading into the European session on Tuesday. The commodity, however, quickly recovers to the $4,900 mark as traders opt to await more cues about the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut path before placing fresh directional bets.

Pi Network rallies ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network trades above $0.1800 at the time of writing on Tuesday, recording nearly 5% gains so far. On-chain data indicate that large wallet investors, commonly known as whales, have accumulated approximately 4 million PI tokens over the last 24 hours.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.