Economists at Danske Bank view narrowing rate differentials between Japan and the G10 to favour the Japanese Yen (JPY) over the course of this year.
USD/JPY to steadily decline below 140.00 on a 12M horizon
We forecast USD/JPY to steadily decline below 140.00 on a 12M horizon. This is primarily because we expect limited upside to US yields from here. Hence, we expect yield differentials to be a tailwind for the JPY during the year, as G10 central banks, except the BoJ, are likely to commence rate-cutting cycles.
In addition, historical data suggests that a global environment characterized by declining growth and inflation tends to favour the JPY.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD: The path of least resistance is to the downside near 1.0300
The EUR/USD pair weakens to near 1.0315 during the early European session on Monday. The expectation that the European Central Bank will further cut the interest rate this year undermines the Euro against the Greenback.
GBP/USD holds steady above 1.2400; upside potential seems limited amid bullish USD
The GBP/USD pair struggles to capitalize on Friday's modest recovery gains and oscillates in a range, above the 1.2400 mark at the start of a new week. Spot prices, meanwhile, remain close to the lowest level since April 2024 touched last week and seem vulnerable to prolonging over a three-month-old downtrend on the back of a bullish US Dollar.
Gold price moves away from multi-week high on hawkish Fed expectations
Gold price turned lower for the second straight day on Monday, though the downside seems limited. The Fed’s hawkish signal remains supportive of elevated US bond yields and exerts some pressure. Geopolitical risks and trade war fears might continue to offer support to the safe-haven XAU/USD.
Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple show signs of bullish momentum
Bitcoin’s price is approaching its key psychological level of $100,000; a firm close above would signal the continuation of the ongoing rally. Ethereum price closes above its upper consolidation level of $3,522, suggesting bullish momentum. While Ripple price trades within a symmetrical triangle on Monday.
Week ahead – US NFP to test the markets, Eurozone CPI data also in focus
King Dollar flexes its muscles ahead of Friday’s NFP. Eurozone flash CPI numbers awaited as euro bleeds. Canada’s jobs data to impact bets of a January BoC cut. Australia’s CPI and Japan’s wages also on tap.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.