|

USD/JPY: Weakness has not stabilised – UOB Group

Price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 148.55 and 149.75. In the longer run, USD weakness has not stabilised vs Japanese Yen (JPY); pace of any further decline is likely slower. The next level to monitor is 147.70, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD weakness has not stabilised

24-HOUR VIEW: "After USD plummeted to 148.56 on Tuesday and then rebounded, we indicated yesterday (Wednesday) that 'despite the sharp drop from the high, there has been no significant increase in momentum.' However, we were of the view that 'there is a chance for USD to retest the 148.55 level.' USD subsequently briefly dipped to 148.61, rebounded to 149.88, and then pulled back to close largely unchanged at 149.08 (+0.04%). The price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 148.55 and 149.75."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our update from yesterday (26 Feb, spot at 149.15) is still valid. As highlighted, although the USD weakness from early last week has not stabilised, oversold conditions suggest the pace of any further decline is likely to be slower. Overall, only a breach of 150.20 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 150.55 yesterday) would indicate that the weakness has stabilised. Until then, there is a chance for USD to drop further, possibly to 147.70."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD hits two-day highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD picks up pace and reaches two-day tops around 1.1820 at the end of the week. The pair’s move higher comes on the back of renewed weakness in the US Dollar amid growing talk that the Fed could deliver an interest rate cut as early as March. On the docket, the flash US Consumer Sentiment improves to 57.3 in February.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold climbs further, focus is back to 45,000

Gold regains upside traction and surpasses the $4,900 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, shifting its attention to the critical $5,000 region. The move reflects a shift in risk sentiment, driving flows back towards traditional safe haven assets and supporting the yellow metal.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid risk-off, $2.6 billion liquidation wave

Bitcoin edges up above $65,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as dust from the recent macro-triggered sell-off settles. The leading altcoin, Ethereum, hovers above $1,900, but resistance at $2,000 caps the upside. Meanwhile, Ripple has recorded the largest intraday jump among the three assets, up over 10% to $1.35.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans. 

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.