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USD/JPY struggles to hold above 104.60 with the yen picking up

  • USD/JPY accelerates its reversal below 105.00 to reach 104.55 area.
  • The yen appreciates on coronavirus concerns.
  • The dollar remains bullish while above 104.40 – UOB. 

The USD/JPY has accelerated its downtrend from week highs at 105.65 after breaking below 105.00 on Friday and is testing support at the 104.55/60 area. The greenback has been giving away gains after Monday’s rally although still 1.2% higher on the week.

The yen appreciates on COVID-19 concerns

The safe-haven Japanese yen has appreciated across the board over the last two days, fuelled by market concerns about the economic consequences of the second coronavirus wave that is hitting the US and Europe. The sharp increase of infections and deaths has cooled off the market's enthusiasm about a potential vaccine seen earlier this week.

Furthermore, US Treasury Bond yields, one of the main reasons behind the dollar rally, have continued retreating, which has weighed on USD demand. The yield for the 10-year US Treasury note has dropped to 0.88% after having peaked at 0.97% on Wednesday, its highest level since the first pandemic outbreak in March.

USD/JPY remains biased higher while above 104.40 – UOB

The FX Analysis Team at UOBis still bullish about the USD contemplating a retest of 106.10: “As highlighted, there is ‘room for the current strong advance in USD to test the major resistance at 106.10’. At this stage, the odds for a sustained rise above this level are not high. On the downside, a break of 104.40 (‘strong support’ level previously at 104.00) would indicate that USD is not ready for 106.10.”

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price104.6
Today Daily Change-0.53
Today Daily Change %-0.50
Today daily open105.13
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.77
Daily SMA50105.23
Daily SMA100105.84
Daily SMA200106.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.48
Previous Daily Low105.07
Previous Weekly High105.35
Previous Weekly Low103.18
Previous Monthly High106.11
Previous Monthly Low104.03
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.32
Daily Pivot Point S1104.98
Daily Pivot Point S2104.82
Daily Pivot Point S3104.57
Daily Pivot Point R1105.38
Daily Pivot Point R2105.64
Daily Pivot Point R3105.79

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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