|

USD/JPY struggles for direction, holds steady around 114.00 mark

  • USD/JPY struggled to preserve/capitalize on its modest intraday gains on Friday.
  • A subdued USD price action turned out to be a key factor that capped the upside.
  • Signs of stability in the equity markets, elevated US bond yields extended support.

The USD/JPY pair held on to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session, albeit lacked follow-through and was last seen trading around the 114.00 mark.

The pair built on the overnight bounce from one-week lows and gained some traction during the early part of the trading action on Friday. Reports that China Evergrande made funds available for a bond coupon to a trustee account helped ease concerns about a credit crunch in China's real estate sector. This, in turn, undermined the safe-haven Japanese yen and acted as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.

On the other hand, the US dollar, so far, has struggled to capitalize on the previous day's goodish rebound from three-week lows. This was seen as a key factor that failed to provide any additional boost to the USD/JPY pair and capped the early uptick near the 114.20 area. The downside, however, remains cushioned amid a further widening of the US-Japanese government bond yield differential.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond rose to 1.683%, or the highest level since May 13 on Thursday amid expectations for an early policy tightening by the Fed. The speculations were reinforced by comments from Fed Governor Christopher Waller, saying that the US central bank may have to act faster if inflation continues to run high through the remainder of this year.

Conversely, the yield on the 10-year Japanese government bond remained near zero due to the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy. This warrants some caution for aggressive bearish traders and before positioning for any extension of the recent pullback from near four-year tops touched earlier this week.

Market participants now look forward to the release of flash US PMIs for a fresh impetus later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields, will influence the USD price dynamics. Traders will further take cues from the broader market risk sentiment for some short-term opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price113.96
Today Daily Change-0.01
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open113.97
 
Trends
Daily SMA20112.51
Daily SMA50110.88
Daily SMA100110.53
Daily SMA200109.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High114.42
Previous Daily Low113.65
Previous Weekly High114.46
Previous Weekly Low112.16
Previous Monthly High112.08
Previous Monthly Low109.11
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%113.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%114.12
Daily Pivot Point S1113.61
Daily Pivot Point S2113.25
Daily Pivot Point S3112.84
Daily Pivot Point R1114.37
Daily Pivot Point R2114.78
Daily Pivot Point R3115.14

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold retains bullish bias ahead of this week’s key US macro releases

Gold attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs to the $4,330 region during the Asian session on Monday. The commodity remains well within striking distance of its highest level since October 21, touched on Friday, and seems poised to appreciate further amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.