- USD/JPY builds on the overnight solid recovery from a three-week low, albeit lacks follow-through.
- The underlying strong USD bullish sentiment turns out to be a key factor lending support to the pair.
- Intervention fears, along with the risk-off mood, seem to underpin the safe-haven JPY and cap gains.
The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves further away from its lowest level since September 14, around the 147.25-147.30 area touched the previous day. Spot prices trade around the 149.20 region, up 0.15% for the day, though lack bullish conviction in the wake of jawboning by Japanese authorities to defend the domestic currency.
Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki reiterated that rapid FX moves are undesirable and that the government will not rule out any options against excessive moves. Suzuki, meanwhile, added that he doesn’t want to comment on whether Japan intervened in the FX market, so did Japan's top currency diplomat Masato Kanda. It is worth recalling that the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened sharply against its American counterpart late Tuesday, with the USD/JPY pair tumbling nearly 300 pips from levels just above the 150.00 psychological mark, or a fresh 11-month high.
Nevertheless, speculations that Japan will intervene in the FX market to combat a sustained depreciation in the JPY might keep a lid on any meaningful appreciating move for the major. Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off environment could further benefit the JPY's relative safe-haven status and contribute to capping the USD/JPY pair. The downside, however, remains cushioned in the wake of a strong bullish sentiment surrounding the US Dollar (USD), which stands tall near its highest level since November 2022 and remains well supported by the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish outlook.
Several Fed officials recently backed the case for at least one more rate hike by the end of this year to bring inflation back to the 2% target. Adding to this, the better-than-expected release of the monthly JOLTS report on Tuesday, showing that there were an estimated 9.61 million open jobs in August, brought wage inflation back on the agenda. This, in turn, reaffirms expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer and could extend the rate-hiking cycle into 2024, which lifts the benchmark 10-year US government bond to a fresh 16-peak and continues to underpin the Greenback.
The aforementioned fundamental backdrop seems tilted firmly in favour of bullish traders and suggests that any meaningful corrective slide around the USD/JPY pair is more likely to get bought into. Market participants now look to the US macro data – the ADP report on private-sector employment and the ISM Services PMI – later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields, should influence the USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment might contribute to producing short-term trading opportunities around the major.
Technical levels to watch
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays below 1.1100 after upbeat US data
EUR/USD struggles to gain traction and trades below 1.1100 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. The data from the US showed that employment in private sector rose at a stronger pace than forecast in September, supporting the USD.
GBP/USD remains on the backfoot below 1.3300
GBP/USD continues to trade below 1.3300 in the American session on Wednesday. US ADP Employment Change came in at 143,000 in September, surpassing the market expectation of 120,000 and making it difficult for the pair to stage a rebound.
Gold hovers around $2,660 after US opening
Spot Gold hovers around $2,650 a troy ounce on Wednesday, confined to a tight trading range amid a generally pessimistic market mood favoring both Gold and the US Dollar (USD).
Bitcoin holds above $61,000 after sell-off driven by escalating conflict between Israel and Iran
Bitcoin recovers slightly on Wednesday, trading above $61,000, after Tuesday’s slump due to the escalating Israel-Iran conflicts. The decline, which led BTC to trade below $61,000, wiped out more than $500 million from the crypto market.
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
Five best Forex brokers in 2024
VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals.