|

USD/JPY slips below 134.00, fresh daily low amid broad-based USD weakness

  • USD/JPY pulls back from a multi-week high amid the emergence of fresh USD selling.
  • Elevated US Treasury bond yields should limit the USD losses and act as a tailwind.
  • The BoJ’s dovish stance, a positive risk tone could undermine the JPY and lend support.

The USD/JPY pair retreats from a nearly five-week high, around the 134.80 region touched earlier this Tuesday and extends its steady intraday descent through the mid-European session. Spot prices slide below the 134.00 mark in the last hour, eroding a major part of the previous day's gains and snapping a two-day winning streak.

The US Dollar (USD) comes under some renewed selling pressure and stalls a two-day-old recovery trend from a one-year low set last week, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor dragging the USD/JPY pair lower. Several counterparts are outperfoming the buck: the better-than-forecast growth data from China, along with a hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting minutes, boost the Australian Dollar. Adding to this, stronger UK wage growth data supported the British Pound and turns out to be a key factor weighing on the Greenback.

That said, speculations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue raising interest rates should help limit losses for the Greenback. In fact, the markets are pricing in a greater chance of another 25 bps lift-off at the next FOMC meeting in May, which keeps the US Treasury bond yields elevated. This results in the widening of the US-Japan rate differential, which along with the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) dovish stance and a positive risk tone, undermine the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and lend some support to the USD/JPY pair.

The aforementioned fundamental backdrop makes it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before positioning for any further intraday depreciating move. Market participants now look forward to the US housing market data - Building Permits and Housing Starts - for a fresh impetus during the early North American session. Apart from this, the US bond yields will influence the USD price dynamics. Traders will further take cues from the broader risk sentiment to grab short-term opportunities around the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price133.89
Today Daily Change-0.57
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open134.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA20132.35
Daily SMA50133.51
Daily SMA100133.1
Daily SMA200137.14
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.57
Previous Daily Low133.71
Previous Weekly High134.04
Previous Weekly Low131.83
Previous Monthly High137.91
Previous Monthly Low129.64
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%134.04
Daily Pivot Point S1133.92
Daily Pivot Point S2133.39
Daily Pivot Point S3133.06
Daily Pivot Point R1134.78
Daily Pivot Point R2135.11
Daily Pivot Point R3135.64

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD continues to build on its recovery in the latter part of Wednesday’s session, with upside momentum accelerating as the pair retargets the key 1.1900 barrier amid a further loss of traction in the US Dollar. Attention now shifts squarely to the US data docket, with labour market figures and the always influential CPI releases due on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.