USD/JPY risk reversals drop to 1-month low, bull trap in the spot?

Risk reversals hit 1-month low, signal bearish sentiment in the options market.
USD/JPY may struggle to hold on to the rebound from 50-day MA support.

Omkar Godbole FXStreet Contributor

The one-month 25 delta risk reversals fell to -1.20 yesterday; the lowest level since Oct. 19. The decline from the recent high of -0.70 indicates increasing demand for the JPY calls (bullish bets on Yen).

The decline in the risk reversals, coupled with the head and shoulders breakdown on the USD/JPY chart could be an indication of a bull trap, i.e. recovery from yesterday's low of 112.48 to 113.00 could be short-lived.

Author

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

EUR/USD rises to 1.1800 neighborhood amid renewed USD selling and trade uncertainties

The EUR/USD pair regains positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday and jumps to the 1.1800 neighborhood in the last hour, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The intraday move up is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar, which continues to be weighed down by persistent trade-related uncertainties.

GBP/USD regains 1.3500 and above

GBP/USD extends its advance for the third day in a row on Tuesday, this time retesting the area beyond the 1.3500 hurdle. Cable’s uptick comes despite decent gains in the Greenback and the dovish message from the BoE’s Bailey at the UK Parliament.

Gold stays firm above $5,150 as Trump's delivers State of the Union speech

Gold finds fresh demand and regains the $5,150 level following the previous day's pullback from the monthly peak as traders assess Trump's State of the Union address. Trade-related uncertainties and geopolitical risks seem to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion.

Hyperliquid registers mild gains following CoinShares' ETP launch

Hyperliquid registered a 3% gain on Tuesday after CoinShares announced the launch of its Physical Hyperliquid Staking exchange-traded product, offering investors exposure to the token's price and staking yields.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

XRP pressured by weak ETF flows and declining retail interest

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower, trading above its intraday low of $1.32 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The decline from its weekly opening of $1.39 reflects heightened volatility in the broader cryptocurrency market, accentuated by tariff-triggered uncertainty.