|

USD/JPY rebounds above 110.00 despite broad USD weakness

  • USD/JPY regained its traction after falling earlier in the day.
  • US Dollar Index stays deep in the red below 92.00.
  • Recovering US Treasury bond yields help USD/JPY push higher.

After closing in the positive territory last week, the USD/JPY pair started the new week under strong bearish pressure and dropped to its lowest level in a week at 109.71. In the second half of the day, however, the pair regained its traction and moved into the positive territory. As of writing, USD/JPY was up 0.1% on the day at 110.30.

US T-bond yields turn north

Earlier in the day, the broad-based USD weakness and falling US Treasury bond yields weighed heavily on USD/JPY. The US Dollar Index, which gained 2% last week, dropped below 92.00 on Monday and the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield touched its lowest level since late February at 1.354%.

Although the greenback continues to have a difficult time finding demand during the American trading hours, the sharp U-turn witnessed in T-bond yields is helping USD/JPY push higher. Currently, the 10-year US T-bond yield is up 2.7% at 1.482 while the DXY loses 0.48% at 91.87.

The only data from the US revealed on Monday that the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago's National Activity Index improved to 0.29 in May from -0.09 in April. Nevertheless, market participants showed little to no reaction to this reading.

There won't be any high-tier data releases from Japan on Tuesday and USD/JPY is likely to continue to react to fluctuations in T-bond yields.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price110.28
Today Daily Change0.07
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open110.21
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.67
Daily SMA50109.17
Daily SMA100108.36
Daily SMA200106.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.48
Previous Daily Low109.94
Previous Weekly High110.82
Previous Weekly Low109.61
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.15
Daily Pivot Point S1109.94
Daily Pivot Point S2109.67
Daily Pivot Point S3109.4
Daily Pivot Point R1110.48
Daily Pivot Point R2110.76
Daily Pivot Point R3111.03

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1850, with all eyes on US CPI data

EUR/USD holds losses while keeping its range near 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with a steady US Dollar undermines the pair ahead of the critical US CPI data. Meanwhile, the Eurozone Q4 GDP second estimate has little to no impact on the Euro. 

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD recovers some ground above 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid a softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday. 

Gold remains below $5,000 as US inflation report looms

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains in the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

The weekender: When software turns the blade on itself

Autonomous AI does not just threaten trucking companies and call centers. It challenges the cognitive toll booths that legacy software has charged for decades. This is not a forecast. No one truly knows the end state of AI.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.