|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Surges past 154.50 post hot CPI

  • USD/JPY jumps over 1%, breaking 153.00 and 154.00 resistance levels.
  • Hot US inflation fuels Treasury yield surge, boosting dollar strength.
  • Technical outlook: Bulls eye 155.26, but key support lies at 153.00.

The USD/JPY rallied sharply on Wednesday after a hot US inflation report spurred a jump in the US 10-year Treasury yield, closely correlated with the major. Hence, the pair aimed higher, clearing the 153.00 and 154.00 figures on their way toward current spot prices, near 154.50.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY enjoyed an over 1% rally on Wednesday after clearing the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 152.76, opening the door for further upside. Despite this, the pair found stir resistance at the Kijun-sen at 154.90 before consolidating near the 154.50 area,

Despite this, the pair is neutral to downward biased after registering a successive series of lower highs and lower lows. If bulls want to regain control, the USD/JPY must clear the 50-day SMA at 155.26, followed by the latest cycle high of 155.89.

On the other hand, a drop below 154.00 would expose the Senkou Span B at 153.76, followed by the 153.00 figure and the 200-day SMA at 152.76.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.05%0.03%0.00%0.03%0.06%0.05%0.03%
EUR-0.05% -0.02%-0.05%-0.02%-0.01%0.00%-0.02%
GBP-0.03%0.02% -0.04%0.00%0.03%0.02%-0.00%
JPY0.00%0.05%0.04% 0.03%0.06%0.05%0.03%
CAD-0.03%0.02%-0.00%-0.03% 0.02%0.02%-0.00%
AUD-0.06%0.01%-0.03%-0.06%-0.02% -0.01%-0.03%
NZD-0.05%-0.01%-0.02%-0.05%-0.02%0.00% -0.02%
CHF-0.03%0.02%0.00%-0.03%0.00%0.03%0.02% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.