|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Short-term uptrend seems to be running out of steam

  • USD/JPY is in a short-term uptrend but it appears to be losing momentum.
  • The pair could still go higher but downside risks have increased. 

USD/JPY continues making higher highs and higher lows as it extends its short-term uptrend towards the underside of the major trendline in the 151.00s. 

Bullish momentum has eased off, however, suggesting bulls could be running out of steam, and although the uptrend is intact there exists an increased risk of a pull back developing.

USD/JPY 4-hour Chart 

A break above 149.98 (October 14 high) would confirm a further extension to the next target at 151.09 (200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) (not shown)). A break above that would indicate a move up to the major trendline in the 151.80s. 

Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator has dropped off considerably at the last peak – a further sign of underlying weakness.  

If a correction evolves, support lies at 148.27 (October 10 low) or 147.23 (September 2 high).

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold benefits from a retreating USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold attracts some buyers for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar pullback from an over three-month high, though it remains below the $5,200 mark. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Morgan Stanley files amended S-1 for spot Bitcoin ETF

Morgan Stanley submitted an amended S-1 filing to the US Securities and Exchange Commission on Wednesday, providing additional details on its proposed Bitcoin exchange-traded fund.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.