|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Tumbles on Japanese authorities language intervention, falling US bond yields

  • USD/JPY declined for two consecutive days following remarks from Japanese authorities indicating increased scrutiny of currency market movements.
  • Japanese Yen strengthens in response to the news, putting downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.
  • USD/JPY maintains an upward bias as long as it holds above the key level of 138.74, representing the May 18 daily high.

USD/JPY dropped for two consecutive days after Japanese authorities expressed that currency market moves would be watched, following a meeting between the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Masato Kanda, vice finance minister for international affairs. After those remarks, the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 139.87, losing 0.40%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

USD/JPY remains upward biased as long as the pair remains above the May 18 daily high of 138.74, though the recent pullback could be attributed to market sentiment deterioration. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, exiting from overbought conditions, could be one of the reasons, alongside plunging US Treasury bond yields.

That said, USD/JPY first support would be the 139.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the May 18 high, followed by the 138.00 figure. Next would be the confluence of a previous resistance trendline turned support and the 20-day EMA at 137.76.

Conversely, if buyers reclaim 140.00, that could open the door for further upside, like the year-to-date (YTD) high of 140.93, before challenging the 141.00 mark.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price139.74
Today Daily Change-0.72
Today Daily Change %-0.51
Today daily open140.46
 
Trends
Daily SMA20136.99
Daily SMA50134.67
Daily SMA100133.6
Daily SMA200137.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High140.92
Previous Daily Low140.11
Previous Weekly High140.72
Previous Weekly Low137.49
Previous Monthly High136.56
Previous Monthly Low130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%140.42
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%140.61
Daily Pivot Point S1140.08
Daily Pivot Point S2139.69
Daily Pivot Point S3139.27
Daily Pivot Point R1140.88
Daily Pivot Point R2141.3
Daily Pivot Point R3141.69

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses near 1.1850 as US, China holidays keep trade muted

EUR/USD opens the week on a softer note, trading near 1.1860 during the Asian session on Monday. Activity is likely to remain muted, with United States markets closed for the Presidents’ Day holiday, while Mainland China is also shut for the week-long Lunar New Year break.

GBP/USD flat lines as traders await key UK macro data and FOMC minutes

The GBP/USD pair kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range, just below mid-1.3600s, during the Asian session. Moreover, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important releases from the UK and the US.

Gold remains below $5,050 despite Fed rate cut bets, uncertain geopolitical tensions

Gold edges lower after registering over 2% gains in the previous session, trading around $5,030 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the non-interest-bearing Gold could further gain ground following softer January Consumer Price Index figures, which reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could cut rates later this year.

Top Crypto Losers: Dogecoin, Zcash, Bonk – Meme and Privacy coins under pressure

Meme coins such as Dogecoin and Bonk, alongside the privacy coin Zcash (ZEC), are leading the broader market losses over the last 24 hours. DOGE, ZEC, and BONK ended their three consecutive days of recovery with a sudden decline on Sunday, as crucial resistance levels capped the gains. Technically, the altcoins show downside risk, starting the week under pressure.

Global inflation watch: Signs of cooling services inflation

Realized inflation landed close to expectations in January, as negative base effects weighed on the annual rates. Remaining sticky inflation is largely explained by services, while tariff-driven goods inflation remains limited even in the US.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.