|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Stuck in an expanding descending channel

  • USD/JPY's 15-minute chart shows a bearish channel. 
  • A breakout would open the doors for a re-test of Wednesday's high. 

USD/JPY is trapped in an expanding descending channel, as seen on the 15-minute chart. 

A convincing move above the channel hurdle, currently at 105.57, would confirm the breakout and signal a resumption of the rally from the Aug. 5 low of 105.32. On the higher side, key resistance is seen at 105.68 – the peak of the descending channel. 

On the downside, support is seen at 105.46 (channel low), which, if breached, would expose the Aug. 5 low of 105.32. At press time, the pair is trading at 105.56. 

A breakout looks likely with the daily chart flashing early signs of a bullish reversal. The pair carved out a big bullish engulfing candle on July 31, terminating the downtrend from the March 24 high of 111.71. 

15-min chart

Trend: Bullish

Technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price105.56
Today Daily Change-0.04
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open105.6
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.37
Daily SMA50107.1
Daily SMA100107.51
Daily SMA200108.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.87
Previous Daily Low105.32
Previous Weekly High106.13
Previous Weekly Low104.19
Previous Monthly High108.16
Previous Monthly Low104.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.66
Daily Pivot Point S1105.32
Daily Pivot Point S2105.05
Daily Pivot Point S3104.77
Daily Pivot Point R1105.88
Daily Pivot Point R2106.15
Daily Pivot Point R3106.43

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 after mixed EU PMI data

EUR/USD manages to hold above 1.1750 but struggles to gather recovery momentum on Friday, following the mixed February PMI figures from Germany and the Eurozone. In the second half of the day, Q4 GDP, December inflation and February PMI data from the US will be watched closely by market participants.

GBP/USD recovers further toward 1.3500 after UK PMI data

GBP/USD is recovering ground further toward 1.3500 in European trading on Friday, helped by a modest uptick in the Pound Sterling after stronger-than-expected UK January Retail Sales and February PMI data. However, the pair's further upside could be limited amid persistent US Dollar strength as the focus turns to key US data. 

Gold sticks to positive bias above $5,000 ahead of US data

Gold gains some positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. holding above $5,000. Traders now look forward to the key US macro releases – the Advance Q4 GDP report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index – for fresh trading impetus. 

US GDP growth expected to slow down significantly in Q4 after stellar Q3 

The United States Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the first preliminary estimate of the fourth-quarter Gross Domestic Product at 13:30 GMT. Analysts forecast the US economy to have expanded at a 3% annualized rate, slowing down from the 4.4% growth posted in the previous quarter.

Iran tensions and AI fears at the forefront ahead of key US data

Thursday’s scorecard shows major US Stock benchmarks closed modestly in the red amid mounting US-Iran tensions and AI disruption worries. The S&P 500 shed 19 points (0.3%) to 6,861, the Nasdaq 100 lost 101 points (0.4%) to 24,797, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 267 points (0.5%) to 49,395.

Official Trump price approaches breakout with mixed signals from traders

Official Trump (TRUMP) is trading at $3.50 at the time of writing, approaching its upper consolidation range. A breakout from this range could open the door for an upside move. On-chain data shows market indecision, with balanced flows between bulls and bears, signaling a lack of clear directional bias.