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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Struggles for direction, though a bullish-engulfing pattern loom

  • USD/JPY tests 50-day EMA at 133.85; bullish-engulfing pattern hints at a potential uptrend.
  • Downside risks loom, with the 100-day EMA at 132.83 in sight if 134.00 support breaks.

The USD/JPY rises after dropping to a weekly low of 133.50, advances 0.42%, spurred by buyers stepping in at around solid technical support level. An upbeat April Nonfarm Payrolls report also lifted the US Dollar (USD) vs. the Japanese Yen (JPY) safety. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 134.81 after dipping to a low of 133.88.

USD/JPY Price Action

From a daily chart perspective, the USD/JPY remains neutrally biased, though testing the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at 133.85, as the pair battles on closing above the May 4 daily high of 134.85. If USD/JPY achieves a daily close above the latter, the major will form a bullish-engulfing candlestick pattern, keeping buyers hopeful of higher prices.

In that outcome, the USD/JPY next resistance would be 135.00, and the March 15 daily high at 135.11. Once cleared, the USD/JPY would have a clear path to 136.00 until testing the 200-day EMA at 136.99.

Oscillators, like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, aim up and is still above neutral territory. The Rate of Change (RoC) of the last three days suggests that sellers are losing momentum. Therefore, the USD/JPY would continue to uptrend.

However, if USD/JPY falls below 134.00, it would expose the 50-day EMA at 133.85, followed by the 133.00 figure. Downside risks would pave the way toward the 100-day EMA At 132.83.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.77
Today Daily Change0.49
Today Daily Change %0.36
Today daily open134.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.28
Daily SMA50133.92
Daily SMA100132.86
Daily SMA200136.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High134.88
Previous Daily Low133.5
Previous Weekly High136.56
Previous Weekly Low133.01
Previous Monthly High136.56
Previous Monthly Low130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.03
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%134.35
Daily Pivot Point S1133.56
Daily Pivot Point S2132.84
Daily Pivot Point S3132.19
Daily Pivot Point R1134.94
Daily Pivot Point R2135.6
Daily Pivot Point R3136.31

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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