USD/JPY Price Analysis: Remains lackluster below 140.00, Japan’s Inflation in focus


  • USD/JPY is consolidating below 140.00 as investors await Japan’s CPI for further guidance.
  • S&P500 futures have generated some losses ahead of New York's opening, portraying a cautious market mood.
  • USD/JPY has rebounded after testing the breakout of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern.

The USD/JPY pair is demonstrating topsy-turvy moves below the round-level resistance of 140.00 in the London session. The asset is struggling to find a decisive move as investors need guidance about the interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which will be announced next week.

S&P500 futures have generated some losses ahead of New York's opening, portraying a cautious market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has rebounded firmly and is aiming to recapture the previous day’s high of 100.53.

Going forward, Japan’s inflation report for June will be in focus, which will be published on Friday. As per the consensus, the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased to 3.5% vs. the former release of 3.2%. Core inflation that excludes volatile oil and food prices softened marginally to 4.2% against the prior release of 4.3%.

USD/JPY has rebounded after testing the breakout of the Ascending Triangle chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. A breakout of the aforementioned chart pattern results in wider ticks and heavy volume. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 139.42 is providing a cushion to the US Dollar bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is attempting a break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00. An occurrence of the same will activate the bullish momentum.

For an upside move, a decisive break above July 19 high around 140.00 would drive the asset towards June 15 high at 141.50 followed by July 10 high at 143.00.

On the flip side, a downside move below July 18 low of 137.68 would expose the asset to May 17 low at 136.30 and May 12 low at 134.40.

USD/JPY two-hour chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 139.65
Today Daily Change 0.04
Today Daily Change % 0.03
Today daily open 139.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 142.11
Daily SMA50 140.4
Daily SMA100 137.1
Daily SMA200 136.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 140
Previous Daily Low 138.77
Previous Weekly High 143
Previous Weekly Low 137.24
Previous Monthly High 145.07
Previous Monthly Low 138.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 139.53
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 139.24
Daily Pivot Point S1 138.92
Daily Pivot Point S2 138.23
Daily Pivot Point S3 137.69
Daily Pivot Point R1 140.15
Daily Pivot Point R2 140.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 141.38

 

 

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