USD/JPY Price Analysis: Pullback from YTD highs, intervention threats weight on the USD


  • USD/JPY trades lower, retreating from its year-to-date (YTD) high amid signals of potential intervention by Japanese authorities.
  • Despite the upward bias, USD/JPY may extend its losses below the 144.00 mark, potentially reaching the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.95.
  • Resistance levels lie at the YTD high of 145.07 and the May 10 high of 146.59.

USD/JPY retreats from the year-to-date (YTD) high of 145.07, extending its losses below the 144.10 area, as the US Dollar (USD) weakens despite US Treasury bond yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate edged above the 4.00% threshold. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchanges hand at 144.06, down 0.40%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

USD/JPY price action suggests the pair is headed for a deeper pullback after Japanese authorities threatened to intervene in the Forex market. The USD/JPY remains upward biased, but the pullback could extend past the 144.00 mark toward the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.95.

Of note, the USD/JPY achieved a daily close below the July 3 daily open of 144.08. That could exacerbate a drop below 144.00, exposing the 143.50 psychological level, followed by the 20-day EMA at 142.95. Downside risks will emerge at the June 21 daily high of 142.37, followed by the 142.00 mark.

On the upside, immediate resistance lies at the year-to-date (YTD) high of 145.07, followed by the May 10 high at 146.59.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 144.05
Today Daily Change -0.61
Today Daily Change % -0.42
Today daily open 144.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 142.37
Daily SMA50 139.44
Daily SMA100 136.62
Daily SMA200 137.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 144.74
Previous Daily Low 144.08
Previous Weekly High 145.07
Previous Weekly Low 142.94
Previous Monthly High 145.07
Previous Monthly Low 138.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 144.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 144.33
Daily Pivot Point S1 144.25
Daily Pivot Point S2 143.84
Daily Pivot Point S3 143.59
Daily Pivot Point R1 144.9
Daily Pivot Point R2 145.15
Daily Pivot Point R3 145.56

 

 

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