USD/JPY Price Analysis: Contained around 148.70, as Japanese FX intervention looms


  • Despite an upbeat sentiment, USD/JPY is almost flat as rumors of Japanese intervention in the FX market loom.
  • The USD/JPY daily chart shows the pair as overbought as the RSI above 70 gives a respite to USD/JPY bulls.
  • Near-term, an ascending triangle in the hourly targets the USD/JPY will rise to 149.36-50.

The USD/JPY extends its gains, for the ninth consecutive trading day, bolstered by renewed Bank of Japan (BoJ) dovish commentary during the last week, despite the Minister of Finance Suzuki and Japan’s PM Kishida’s efforts to propel the Japanese yen. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 148.75, above its opening price by 0.01%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast

The USD/JPY printed a fresh 32-year high of 148.89, as the pair closes to the 150.00 figure, but fears of another FX intervention by Japanese authorities refrain traders from opening fresh longs on the USD/JPY. It should be noted that the daily chart depicts oscillators at overbought conditions, namely the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which at 76.74, is almost flat, giving a respite for USD/JPY shorts.

The USD/JPY one-hour chart delineates the pair in consolidation, hoovering around the 20-EMA, which, sitting below the exchange rates, suggests the pair is upwards. However, price action’s printing lower highs and higher lows signal that it could be forming an ascending triangle, which would pave the way for further gains.

A break above 148.89 will expose the 149.00 figure. Once cleared, the following resistance would be the R1 daily pivot and also the ascending-triangle measure objective at 149.36, immediately followed by 149.50 and the 150.00 figure.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 148.74
Today Daily Change 0.09
Today Daily Change % 0.06
Today daily open 148.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 144.88
Daily SMA50 141.11
Daily SMA100 137.99
Daily SMA200 129.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 148.86
Previous Daily Low 147.09
Previous Weekly High 148.86
Previous Weekly Low 145.24
Previous Monthly High 145.9
Previous Monthly Low 138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 148.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 147.77
Daily Pivot Point S1 147.54
Daily Pivot Point S2 146.43
Daily Pivot Point S3 145.78
Daily Pivot Point R1 149.31
Daily Pivot Point R2 149.97
Daily Pivot Point R3 151.08

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Pepperstone
Sponsor
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9
Trust
8.8
Experience
9
Read Review
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.6
Trading
8.4
Trust
7
Experience
8.4
Read Review
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read Review
Pepperstone
Sponsor
Account
8.2
Tools
8.2
Service
7.4
Trading
9
Trust
8.8
Experience
9
Read Review
Account
7.2
Tools
9.2
Service
9.6
Trading
8.4
Trust
7
Experience
8.4
Read Review
Account
7.4
Tools
6.6
Service
8
Trading
6.6
Trust
5.2
Experience
9.2
Read Review

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD bounces off lows, retests 1.1370

EUR/USD bounces off lows, retests 1.1370

Following an early drop to the vicinity of 1.1310, EUR/USD now manages to regain pace and retargets the 1.1370-1.1380 band on the back of a tepid knee-jerk in the US Dollar, always amid growing optimism over a potential de-escalation in the US-China trade war.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD consolidates losses near 1.3300 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD consolidates losses near 1.3300 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD remains under moderate selling pressure near 1.3300 despite the upbeat UK Retail Sales data for March. The pair feels the heat of the solid US Dollar rebound, aided by latest headlines hinting at a softening rhetoric in the ongoing US-China trade conflict.

GBP/USD News
Gold drops toward $3,250 as market mood improves

Gold drops toward $3,250 as market mood improves

Gold turns south following Thursday's rebound and declines toward $3,250 on Friday. The bearish pressure builds up as market mood improves on growing optimism about a de-escalation of the US-China trade conflict after US President Trump hinted at the beginning of negotiations.

Gold News
Ethereum: Accumulation addresses grab 1.11 million ETH as bullish momentum rises

Ethereum: Accumulation addresses grab 1.11 million ETH as bullish momentum rises

Ethereum saw a 1% decline on Friday as sellers dominated exchange activity in the past 24 hours. Despite the recent selling, increased inflows into accumulation addresses and declining net taker volume show a gradual return of bullish momentum.

Read more
Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess – BoJ meets

Week ahead: US GDP, inflation and jobs in focus amid tariff mess – BoJ meets

Barrage of US data to shed light on US economy as tariff war heats up. GDP, PCE inflation and nonfarm payrolls reports to headline the week. Bank of Japan to hold rates but may downgrade growth outlook. Eurozone and Australian CPI also on the agenda, Canadians go to the polls.

Read more
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD

SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures

Best Brokers of 2025