- The USD/JPY ended the week on the right foot, gaining 1.42%.
- High US Treasury yields underpinned the USD/JPY pair.
- USD/JPY Price Forecast: The pair is upward biased, but it might correct courtesy of RSI showing overbought conditions.
The USD/JPY is set to finish the week above the 124.00 mark for the first time in the year, though short of the YTD high at 125.10, amid a mixed market mood and upward pressured US Treasury yields. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 124.27
US equities closed mixed, portraying the market sentiment. US Treasury yields rose, led by the 10-year benchmark note rate up to four and a half basis points, sat at 2.706%, a tailwind for the USD/JPY due to its positive correlation. If yields rise, the USD/JPY pair does it too.
On Friday, the USD/JPY opened around 123.90 but then fell towards the mid-pòint between the S1-Daily pivot point at 123.67, a price level where bulls took charge and lifted the pair towards fresh weekly highs at 124.67.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook
The USD/JPY remains upward biased. The daily moving averages (DMAs) reside well below the spot price, confirming the uptrend. However, the Relative Strenght Index (RSI) at 76.15 is aiming higher and at overbought levels, which means that the pair might be headed towards a correction before resuming up.
If the scenario of a lower correction plays out, the USD/JPY’s first support would be 124.00. A decisive break would expose 123.67. Once cleared, the next support would be March 244 daily high at 122.41.
Upwards, the USD/JPY’s first resistance will be 125.00, which once breached would send the pair towards the YTD high at 125.10, followed by June 2015 cycle highs near 125.85, and then the April 2001 swing high around 126.85.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD looks at the RBA for near-term direction
AUD/USD resumed its rebound and briefly surpassed the 0.6600 barrier on the back of the renewed and marked resurgence of the downward bias in the US Dollar. Investors, in the meantime, expect the RBA to keep its rates unchanged on Tuesday.
EUR/USD: Price action hinges on the US election and the Fed
EUR/USD managed to trespass the key 1.0900 hurdle and print new highs following the Greenback’s offered stance as investors warmed up for the US election and the FOMC event later in the week.
Gold trades around $2,730
Gold price is on the defensive below $2,750 in European trading on Monday, erasing the early gains. The downside, however, appears elusive amid the US presidential election risks and the ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions.
RBA widely expected to keep interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
Australia’s benchmark interest rate is set to stay unchanged at 4.35% in November. The focus remains on Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock’s comments and updated economic forecasts. The Australian Dollar could wilt if RBA Governor Bullock ramps up bets for a December rate cut.
US presidential election outcome: What could it mean for the US Dollar? Premium
The US Dollar has regained lost momentum against its six major rivals at the beginning of the final quarter of 2024, as tensions mount ahead of the highly anticipated United States Presidential election due on November 5.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.